Another perspective. I don’t know the person, nor agree or disagree with his
position on the solar cycle relationship to climate. But really interesting
read to spur more reading.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/11/24/solar-cycle-update-for-november-2018-warmth-sticking-around-or-cooling-ahead/
tnx
Mike / W5JR
> On Dec 8, 2018, at 11:25 AM, donovanf@starpower.net wrote:
>
> Hi Randy,
>
> I'm very suspicious of this NOAA forecast. It forecasts that solar flux
> will to drop below 60 (58.9 in the associated table); however, t he lowest
> value ever recorded was 64.4 in the summer of 1954 when Earth is at
> its greatest distance from the Sun. An expert will know tomorrow why the
> things he predicted yesterday didn't happen today...
>
> 73
> Frank
> W3LPL
> ----- Original Message -----
>
> From: "Randy Thompson K5ZD" <k5zd@charter.net>
> To: "cq-contest" <cq-contest@contesting.com>
> Sent: Saturday, December 8, 2018 4:09:16 PM
> Subject: Re: [CQ-Contest] At least four more years of solar minimum?
>
> Ugh. At least with these predictions, there is nowhere to go but up!
>
>> -----Original Message-----
>> From: CQ-Contest <cq-contest-bounces@contesting.com> On Behalf Of
>> donovanf@starpower.net
>> Sent: Saturday, December 08, 2018 12:50 AM
>> To: cq-contest <cq-contest@contesting.com>
>> Subject: [CQ-Contest] At least four more years of solar minimum?
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> NOAA updated its predictions for smoothed sunspot numbers and solar flux
>> through the end of 2022. As of last month, their predictions ended in
>> 2019.
>> Their prediction shows a smoothed sunspot number of 10 for December 2018,
>> declining to 2 in July 2020 through January 2021, then 1 during February
>> 2021 through January 2022, and 0 after that and through at least the end
>> of 2022.
>> www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression
>> I hate predictions, especially about the future...
>> 73
>> Frank
>> W3LPL
>>
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>
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