[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report

["Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>]

:Issued: 2005 Jan 30 1248 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC 
(RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 50130
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 30 Jan 2005, 1231UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 30 Jan 2005 until 01 Feb 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 019
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 021
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Feb 2005  10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 012

COMMENT: The Sun stays at a low activity level. We predict B flares,
with a low probability of a C flare from active region #14 (NOAA0727).
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active over the last few hours,
with occasional minor storm intervals at high latitudes. This responds
to the action of a high speed stream that grew yesterday Jan. 29 in the
middle of the day. The Bz component of the IMF is fluctuating strongly,
and the solar wind speed increased to 600km/s. We predict the
persistence of the unsettled to active conditions mainly for the next 24
hours. Thereafter, the geomagnetic field should become progressively
less disturbed.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 29 Jan 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 040
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 086
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : ///
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 024

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA 
NOTE
NONE

73 & GUD DX,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

Propagation eReflector: 
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KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm
KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm




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