To: | "a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>,"a HCDX Prop Channel" <propagation@hard-core-dx.com> |
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Subject: | [Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report |
From: | "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com> |
Date: | Thu, 6 Jan 2005 12:00:14 -0500 |
List-post: | <mailto:propagation@contesting.com> |
:Issued: 2005 Jan 06 1339 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 50106 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 06 Jan 2005, 1105UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 06 Jan 2005 until 08 Jan 2005) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Jan 2005 10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 006 PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Jan 2005 10CM FLUX: 091 / AP: 021 PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Jan 2005 10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 011 COMMENT: Catania sunspot region 98 (NOAA 0715) has now become completely quiet. Solar activity is therefore expected to remain very low. The solar wind speed has decreased strongly and is now at 500km/s. Since the IMF is pointing firmly northwards, the geomagnetic conditions are currently also very quiet. However, a shock may still arrive from the recent halo CME activity. SOLAR INDICES FOR 5 Jan 2005 SUNSPOT INDEX : 015 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 088 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 022 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE 73, Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster Plant City, FL, USA Grid Square EL87WX Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W kn4lf@arrl.net Propagation eReflector: http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm
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