[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2019 Oct 14 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2019 Oct 14 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low. There were no active regions with sunspots and no Earth-directed coronal mass ejections were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels on 14-16 Oct.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach moderate levels on 14-16 Oct, with high levels possible on 14-15 Oct. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels throughout the forecast period.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters were at background levels this period under a nominal solar wind regime.

Forecast: The near-Earth solar wind environment is likely to become weakly enhanced on 14-15 Oct due to coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS) effects. Background conditions are expected to return on 16 Oct.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet under a nominal solar wind regime.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 14-15 Oct due to weak CH HSS effects. Generally quiet conditions are expected to prevail on 16 Oct.

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Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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