[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2020 Nov 14 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2020 Nov 14 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low. The largest flare of the period was a B7 flare at 13/2359 UTC from Region 2781 (S23W73, Hsx/alpha). Region 2782 (S31E37, Axx/alpha) continued to decay over the period. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to persist at very low levels, with a slight chance for C-class activity, over 14-16 Nov.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was normal to moderate and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be normal to moderate over 14-16 Nov and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters were at nominal levels with solar wind speed between 324-401 km/s. Total field ranged from 1-4 nT while the Bz component was between +/-3 nT. Phi angle was oriented in a negative (towards) solar sector.

Forecast: Solar wind parameters are expected to be slightly enhanced over 14-15 Nov due to the anticipated influence of a negative polarity CH HSS. A return to background conditions are expected on 16 Nov.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

Forecast: Quiet to unsettled conditions are likely on 14-15 Nov due to the influence of a negative polarity CH HSS. Mostly quiet conditions are expected to prevail on 16 Nov with the return of a nominal solar wind regime.

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Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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