Tom Carney wrote:
> I took a look at the number of QSOs by the top stations during the 1997-2002
> June contest. It seems like the number of QSO these stations made would
> give some indication of actiivity in their area. Here is the total for the
> top seven QSO leaders on 2M for each of the years.
>
> 97-3873, 98-3560, 99-3964, 00-3632, 01-3311, 02-3924
>
> While I don't see any obvious trend in this data, a simple average of the
> first three years is 3799 vs the average for the last three 3622.
>
> I will do the 6M one and post the results next.
Tom,
Nice work. What I see is (with one exception) a series of higher-highs and
higher-lows. The overall trend is up, given this data set...though there is a
hint of a turn-aound at the end.
HOWEVER...this is only 6-events worth of data. The quesiton is if this is
cyclical (short-term) or secular (long-term).
There is much to know about how to properly define data sets and analyze what
they show. There's a reason that statistical analysts can make a living doing
it.
The point is still this: Too many assumptions are being made and conclusions are
being drawn based on annecdotal "evidence".
Ev, W2EV
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