The official NOAA, NASA and ISES Solar Cycle 24 prediction was released by the Solar Cycle 24 Prediction Panel on April 25, 2007. The Prediction Panel included members from NOAA, NASA, ISES and other
On the website http://www.sec.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/SC24/PressRelease.html they said the following: "The first year after solar minimum, marking the end of Cycle 23, will provide the information scient
A better way of saying what I think you mean is that the laws of physics, biology, etc. are not established by agreement of those who study them. Rather, our UNDERSTANDING of those principles evolves
ORIGINAL MESSAGE: -- REPLY FOLLOWS -- Of course you can have a consensus. The consensus may be wrong, but it's still a consensus. :-) Bill W6WRT _______________________________________________ ______
Astronomy, climatology, meterology, geology, and even some mathmatical theory have much of their fields based on consensus. The acceptance of nearly all theory is based on consensus. Roger (K8RI) __
a it my of I came across this old post from April 2007 in the archives and thought it might be interesting to compare Thomas' predictions from 9 years ago to what actually happened. Thomas predicted
Author: "Roger (K8RI) on TT" <K8RI-on-TowerTalk@tm.net>
Date: Wed, 18 May 2016 22:29:04 -0400
True only when you have "fixed" numbers from which to calculate an answer, but not quite true with the consensus when "predicting from, or with, unknown variables", like the solar cycle. The solar cy
Jerry is "spot" (pun intended) on. I'm a meteorologist and we deal in probabilities all the time because we must communicate uncertainty. The same thing's need to be done with SS cycles, as well. pro