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[CQ-Contest] wpx ssb spotting analysis

To: "reflector cq-contest" <CQ-Contest@Contesting.COM>
Subject: [CQ-Contest] wpx ssb spotting analysis
From: "David Robbins K1TTT" <k1ttt@arrl.net>
Date: Mon, 29 Mar 2004 18:30:04 -0000
List-post: <mailto:cq-contest@contesting.com>
Total of 24775 spots in the log for the weekend.

Top spot getters:
DX              Count
3B9C            1027
TJ3G            290
A61AJ           249
YW4M            203
D4B             178
ZW5B            151
VP51V           151
T49C            139
FM/T93M 139
NQ4I            136

Busiest spotters:
Spotter count
KM4M            543
W6YX            435
N4GG            406
NQ4I            390
KB9KEG  367
NZ1U            308
RL3A            291
XE2AC           281
NE1C            280
F1ADG           273

Top Cheerleaders:
spotter dx              count
SV5JK           SV5RDS  45
DL2JT           DA0WPX  26
YU1AST  YU0HST  26
SV9FBM  SX9F            25
PT7WA           ZY7C            22
F6KHM           TM4Z            18
SP6KFK  SN6C            18
K8ND            PJ2T            17
PP5WF           PP5ZP           17
IT9SGN  IT9SGN  16
RA9CGK  RU9DD           16
KC2LLM  AK2P            14
PY2BAI  PY2ER           14
ON4ORP  ON6ZK           14
HA7UG           3B9C            13

------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----

Now ugly statistics about single spotter spots.  These are spots from
people that made only one spot the whole weekend.  There are two sources
of these, the cluster network and dxsummit.  Note that most of the
single spotter spots for 3b9c and tj3g were non-contest.

DX              total   all             dxsummit
                spots   singles         singles
                ###     ###     %%      ###     %%                      
3B9C            1027    212     21      51      24
TJ3G            290     54      19      17      31
A61AJ           249     13      5       3       
YW4M            203     4       2       2       
D4B             178     13      7       6       46
ZW5B            151     3       2       0       
VP51V           151     4       3       0       
T49C            139     5       4       1       
FM/T93M         139     7       5       1       
NQ4I            136     2       1       1       
5U7JB           107     10      9       5       
JU1DX           106     52      49      50      96
5T0EU           90      10      11      4       
HK0GU           73      12      16      3       
J42T            64      15      23      12      80
PY2SBY          58      10      17      3       
XV1X            46      11      24      4       
ED1WS           22      12      55      12      100
5B/RA6LUX       19      11      58      2       
EA3NW           12      6       50      6       100
RA0FF           6       6       100     6       100

What do all these numbers mean... well, after looking at many contests
worth of this data I expect to see the following types of trends:

1. Look at the left most column above.  Rare stations get more spots, as
do multi ops who cq a lot.

2. Look at the middle column above.  Expeditions get lots of spots from
dx'ers who don't spot lots of other stuff, so they get higher
percentages of single spotter spots.  'Normal' stations get <10% of
their spots from single  spotters, expeditions are often around 20%(see
3b9c and tj3g above)

3. Look at the last column above.  With all else being equal the
percentage of single spotter spots from dxsummit should be about the
same for all stations.  This may be different for areas that do not have
access to the 'packet' network to enter spots, but for stations that get
lots of spots 20% to maybe 50% would normally be from dxsummit.  

Note the ones i have removed were from stations who had very few single
spots overall which tend to confuse the numbers.

So, very high percentages in column 3 show that there were a high
percentage of spotters who only spotted the one dx station in the
contest.  These could be from lots of disguised self spots, a group of
cheerleaders who only spotted their buddy, or from dx'ers who worked the
new one and turned off the rig for the weekend.

Very high percentages in the last column show that more of the spots
came from dxsummit than a normal cluster node.  The only reason I can
use to explain these is the availability of normal clusters vs only web
access to areas that are spotting the station... as the cluster network
is available worldwide to virtually anyone who would also have access to
the dxsummit web site this is a pretty weak explanation these days.  So
i often look at unusually high percentages of dxsummit single spotters
as a sign of disguising your call by picking random other calls to spot
with and taking advantage of the easy web interface to enter them.
Fortunately with dxsummit publishing ip addresses it is very easy to
find the details on these... see below.

One final note... the self spotters below were pulled out of the
dxsummit data based on ip address discrepancies BEFORE i ran the
statistics above.  So this would show there are two different methods,
one statistical as above, and the other from the specific spot data that
reveals the same possible violations.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
>From dxsummit web spots:
------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
spotters for EA3NW

EA3AUI-@:       62.36.169.227   contest
EA3AUI-@:       80.102.8.8              WPX
N1FRA-@:        80.102.8.166    
VE2ACE-@:       80.102.8.8      
VE2ANR-@:       62.36.169.227   STRONG
W2GSE-@:        62.36.169.1             CQ WPX
W4FHD-@:        80.102.8.8      
W4RVS-@:        80.102.8.8              WPX
WA1JRS-@:       80.103.146.37   WPX

all ip's above from spanish isp's.


------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
spotters for ED1WS

AA2F-@: 80.58.7.172     WPX
K2CN-@: 80.58.7.172     WPX
K4AMC-@:        80.58.7.172     
K5UA-@: 80.58.7.172     WPX
KU5S-@: 80.58.7.172     WPX
N1IW-@: 80.58.7.172     WPX
N2BJ-@: 80.58.7.172     WPX
N4HB-@: 80.58.7.172     WPX
N5PA-@: 80.58.7.172     Contest WPX
N8II-@: 80.58.7.172     TEST
N9LF-@: 80.58.7.172     WPX
VE1YX-@:        80.58.7.172     WPX
W2ED-@: 80.58.7.172     WPX
W8HGH-@:        80.58.7.172     WPX
YL6W-@: 80.58.7.172     WPX

the ip above from a spanish isp.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
spotters for J42T

DJ4GO-@:        62.38.175.238   test
DL2AAJ-@:       62.103.228.176  test
DL2CFP-@:       194.30.248.97   QSX 248
DL2DRT-@:       212.205.227.116 DL2DRT-@:     WPX
EA2KV-@:        62.38.175.150   Test
G0IKC-@:        195.167.118.233 WPX
G3IRW-@:        62.169.236.118  wpx
G3ONQ-@:        194.30.246.182  WPX
G4AXS-@:        62.103.228.176  WPX
G4RTY-@:        62.169.238.159  WPX TEST GREECE
G4ZVT-@:        212.205.227.116 WPX very strong !!!
GM4RGT-@:       62.38.175.34    QSX 7236
JH1PBX-@:       194.30.248.97   WPX
KA0IRV-@:       62.103.228.139  strong
OH6JAB-@:       194.30.246.182  WPX BOOMING!!!!
SV2AEL-@:       195.167.118.216 WPX via SV2BFN
SV2CWY-@:       194.30.248.97   list 245
SV7CLI-@:       195.97.54.36    WPX
W1ELP-@:        62.103.228.139  WPX

wow! what a collection of ip's... but surprise, surprise, they ALL come
back to greek isp's.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
spotters for JU1DX

AJ6G-@: 202.179.6.35    
D7KMA-@:        202.179.4.52    
DF0HU-@:        202.179.6.240   
DK4ER-@:        202.179.6.61    
DK9TN-@:        202.179.6.39    wpx
DS5KJR-@:       202.179.6.87    contest
EA5GJS-@:       202.179.6.39    WPX test
EW3WE-@:        202.179.4.9     
G3RPF-@:        202.179.6.223   wpx
HA7YT-@:        202.179.6.39    
HA8RT-@:        202.179.6.242   
HC1HW-@:        202.179.6.156   WPX
IK2FIL-@:       202.179.6.39    WPX WPX WPX
IK4PSA-@:       202.179.6.76    
IZ3EWD-@:       202.179.6.76    qrm
JA1NGD-@:       202.179.6.87    
JA3UAS-@:       202.179.4.86    wpx
JG3PSR-@:       202.179.6.240   
JH1FNU-@:       202.179.6.87    
JH1FNU-@:       202.179.6.87    wpx
JH3FSL-@:       202.179.4.9     
JH5RFV-@:       202.179.6.87    
JH5RTG-@:       202.179.6.35    wpx
JH6TGV-@:       202.179.6.156   
JH7HGB-@:       202.179.6.156   wpx
JJ2CJB-@:       202.179.6.87    wpx test
JK9XZS-@:       202.179.6.39    
JR3KUZ-@:       202.179.6.155   wpx test
K1WQ-@: 202.179.6.156   wpx
K4PLK-@:        202.179.6.35    Mongolia!
K5RHG-@:        202.179.6.156   
LA4FG-@:        202.179.6.223   
LA4FGA-@:       202.179.6.76    
LU1WBO-@:       202.179.6.156   
LY2WE-@:        202.179.6.242   wpx
NE2R-@: 202.179.6.35    
OH3ER-@:        202.179.6.39    wpx
OH5RT-@:        202.179.6.240   
OH7UT-@:        202.179.6.240   
OH7YN-@:        202.179.6.76    wpx
OK1HN-@:        202.179.6.240   wpx
OM5HD-@:        202.179.6.155   
PA3WER-@:       202.179.6.62    WPX
RA3AF-@:        202.179.6.61    
RU1A-@: 202.179.6.39    wpx strong
RW4WF-@:        202.179.6.35    
S54WQ-@:        202.179.6.240   
S54WQ-@:        202.179.6.240   
S56A-@: 202.179.4.9             wpx
SP8UHS-@:       202.179.6.61    
SP8UYA-@:       202.179.4.9             WPX
UA0SF-@:        202.179.6.240   sri call correct
UA1AKE-@:       202.179.6.155   1000 qso
UA1OAQ-@:       202.179.6.240   
UA4FRE-@:       202.179.6.39    wpx
UR4ZYD-@:       202.179.6.155   test
VK2ZXC-@:       202.179.6.87    
W1WOW-@:        202.179.6.156   wpx
W4ELA-@:        202.179.6.156   wpx
W4JHA-@:        202.179.6.35    
W7IU-@: 202.179.6.35    
W8RT-@: 202.179.6.35    
WR4E-@: 202.179.6.61    na, wpx
WV6E-@: 202.179.6.155   great qso
WV6E-@: 202.179.6.35    wpx
YO3MG-@:        202.179.6.76    now here
YO3MG-@:        202.179.6.76    now here
YO3QA-@:        202.179.6.76    test wpx

and a spot from JU1DX for D4B!
JU1DX-@:        202.179.6.15    #4036, AL Congratulation!       

i know this one by memory now... micom, mongolian isp.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
spotters for RA0FF

JA2WSB-@:       82.202.129.3    wpx
JH5FPL-@:       82.202.129.3    
JH5ILM-@:       82.202.129.11   
JI2DBN-@:       82.202.129.11   
JK3ZXM-@:       82.202.129.3    
JM6YPM-@:       82.202.129.3    WPX
UX7IU-@:        82.202.129.3    wpx
W4DXC-@:        82.202.129.11   
W4DXC-@:        82.202.129.11   wpx

spots from RA0FF for TJ3G!
RA0FF-@:        82.202.129.11   up1
RA0FF-@:        82.202.129.11   up1
RA0FF-@:        82.202.129.13   UP, FB SIGNAL!

isp address Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk Russia of course

------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
spotters for TA5FA

DL6SI-@:        213.153.221.57  
G4DBW-@:        213.153.221.57  wpx
ON4HN-@:        213.153.221.57  
RK3HD-@:        213.153.221.57  

>From a turkish isp

------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
spotters for ZS6WPX

CT1AJE-@:       198.54.202.2    CQ CQ CONTEST
EA4RR-@:        198.54.202.2    CQ WPX
EA5HG-@:        198.54.202.2    CQ CQ TEST
K5LBJ-@:        198.54.202.2    CQ

from telecom sa ltd.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
undisguised self spotting from IT9SGN came from node IT9GRR-5:
Freq    Comment
21320   CQ WPX
21300    
21300    
21235    
21320    
21320   cq wpx
21285    
21300   WPX
21320   CQ WPX
21300   WPX
21320   CQ WPX
21283.5  
21285.5  
21320   CQ WPX
21285   CQ WPX
21285    
------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
>From cluster logs of single spotter spots:

Spotter FromNode        Dx              Freq    Comment
K1YS            GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14200    
KL1HY           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        3855     
KL1HY           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        3775     
KL1HY           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14202.8  
KL1HY           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        21368.1  
WA1O            GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14245    
KK7UP           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14187.9  
K5UPS           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14187.9  
KL1HY           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14264.2  
K1YS            GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14208.7  
K1YS            GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14275    
KL1HY           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        21400    
KL1HY           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14217.1  
K4TAT           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14320    
K4TAT           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14216.6  
WL7YUI  GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14270    
KL1HY           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14251.9  
K7RAS           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14260    
KK7WS           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14179    
K3ITS           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14242.2  
JA7MMT  GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14242.2  
W4YYT           GB7UJS  KL7/K1YS        14242.2  
lots of stateside spotters from gb7ujs.  k7ras call changed, wl7yui,
k3its, ja7mmt not found in latest buckmaster.  none of the above
spotters has made any other dx spot since the beginning of 2004.  and
k1ys was spotting kl7/k1ys.


Spotter FromNode        Dx              Freq            Comment
WM3Z            N0VD            UA3AGW  7070.8  qsx 230
WM3P            N0VD            UA3AGW  7065.2  qsx 7218
K9PM            N0VD            UA3AGW  7056.6  qsx 7239.0
W7MUJ           N0VD            UA3AGW  7038.3  qsx 7239
none of the 4 above spotters has made another dx spot since the
beginning of 2004.  w7muj not in my latest buckmaster cd.

If the sysops of the above nodes can extract the ip data for the above
two groups it might be more revealing.


David Robbins K1TTT
e-mail: mailto:k1ttt@arrl.net
web: http://www.k1ttt.net
AR-Cluster node: 145.69MHz or telnet://dxc.k1ttt.net
 


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