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Re: [CQ-Contest] Geomagnetic storms likely to commence on 9 December, re

To: donovanf@erols.com
Subject: Re: [CQ-Contest] Geomagnetic storms likely to commence on 9 December, reaching strong storm level on 10 December
From: Steve Lott <lottsphoto@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 9 Dec 2020 07:54:17 -0600
List-post: <mailto:cq-contest@contesting.com>
I am wondering if anyone wants to summarize
The possible effects of this on the ARRL 10 meter
Contest for this weekend

In plan language for those of us in need of it
I think this would help more than a few
Doing so is beyond my skill level :)

Thanks!
Steve
KG5VK

On Wed, Dec 9, 2020 at 6:42 AM <donovanf@erols.com> wrote:

>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> Geomagnetic storm watches are in effect from 9-11 December , due to
> coronal mass ejection (CME) effects from a direct CME collision with
> the Earth's magnetosphere on 9-11 December. The CME eruption was
> associated with a C7 solar flare erupting from Sunspot Region 2790
> on 7 December.
>
>
> www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/geomagnetic-storm-watches-9-11-december-2020
>
>
> Arrival of a shock wave associated with the CME is possible late on
> 9 December, initially resulting in a G1 level minor geomagnetic storm.
> As CME effects continue, geomagnetic disturbance is likely to increase,
> especially if the magnetic field carried with the CME rotates to a
> southward orientation, causing magnetic reconnection with the Earth's
> opposite polarity magnetosphere.
>
>
> The potential for strong storm levels exists and a G3 strong geomagnetic
> storm level w atch is in effect for 10 December. CME-related
> geomagnetic disturbances are forecast to continue through 11 December,
> likely resulting in G2 moderate geomagnetic storm levels - and another
> geomagnetic storm watch has been issued accordingly.
>
>
> While SWPC forecasters are fairly confident in CME arrival at Earth,
> timing and geomagnetic storm intensity are less certain. Continue to
> monitor the SWPC webpage for the latest conditions and forecast.
>
>
> www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings
>
>
> www.solarham.net/geo_forecast.htm
>
>
> www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
>
>
> 73
> Frank
> W3LPL
>
>
>
>
>
>
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>
-- 
Steve
*KG5VK*
Tele 318-470-9806
ARRL NTX Section Manager
*Please note: My Out Going Email address is LottsPhoto@Gmail.com*
*KG5VK@ARRL.ORG <KG5VK@ARRL.ORG> is forwarded to my Gmail address*
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