[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Solar & Geo Report

["Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>]

:Issued: 2005 Jan 27 1258 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC 
(RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 50127
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 27 Jan 2005, 1240UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 27 Jan 2005 until 29 Jan 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet

PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 016

COMMENT: Only a single B7 subflare was observed over the last 24h. The
solar activity is still very low and is expected to remain so in the
next 3 days. The geomagnetic field has been extremely quiet (Kp below 2,
even at high latitude) in the past 24 hours. This reflects the slow (320
km/s) and weakly magnetized (<5nT) solar wind. Those conditions are
expected to last for one more day. Then, in the second half of Jan.28 or
on Jan.29, the fast wind from a low-latitude coronal hole, probably
preceded by a corotating interaction region, will start to influence the
Earth magnetosphere. Thus, the geomagnetic field may then become
unsettled to active, with occasional short minor storms, for 2 or 3 days.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 26 Jan 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 040
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 089
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : ///
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 004

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA 
NOTE
NONE

73 & GUD DX,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

Propagation eReflector: 
http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm
KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm




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