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[Propagation] Fw: [Prelimsolar] PRELIMINARY Daily Solar GeophysicalActiv

To: "a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>
Subject: [Propagation] Fw: [Prelimsolar] PRELIMINARY Daily Solar GeophysicalActivity Report For 27 March
From: "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>
Date: Sun, 27 Mar 2005 18:37:49 -0500
List-post: <mailto:propagation@contesting.com>
>         /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
>
>           PRELIMINARY DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
>
>                                 27 MARCH, 2005
>
>         /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
>
>                         (Based in-part on SEC Data.)
>                (The final report will be released tommorrow.)
>
>
> PRELIMINARY SOLAR & GEOPHYSICAL INDICES FOR 27 MARCH, 2005
> ----------------------------------------------------------
>
>      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
>          Predicted Solar Flux for Next 3 Days: 80, 80, 80.
>                     Average 90-day Solar Flux:  98.
>               Current Middle Latitude A-Index:  12
>                     Current Boulder K-Indices: 2243 332*
>                   Current Planetary K-Indices: 2143 333*
>                Boulder A-Index 3-Day Forecast:  10,   8,   5.
>              Planetary A-Index 3-Day Forecast:  15,  12,  10.
>
>
> SYNOPSIS OF TODAYS ACTIVITY
> ---------------------------
>
>             Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 745
>       (N12W24) continues to slowly decay. No significant activity was
>       observed on the solar disk or limb.
>
>            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to 
> continue
>       at very low levels. Just two small and magnetically simple sunspot
>       groups exist on the visible disk.
>
>            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated 
> active
>       periods. Solar wind speed, which is elevated due to a high speed
>       coronal hole stream, is in decline. The wind speed began the period
>       near 650 km/s, but gradually weakened to around 550 km/s. The
>       greater that 2 mev electrons at geosynchronous orbit were at high
>       levels.
>
>            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
>       expected to be predominantly quiet to unsettled for the next three
>       days. Isolated active periods are possible on 28 march.
>
>            Event probabilities 28 mar-30 mar
>
>                             Class M    01/01/01
>                             Class X    01/01/01
>                             Proton     01/01/01
>                             PCAF       green
>
>            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 28 mar-30 mar
>
>                        A.  Middle Latitudes
>                        Active                20/15/15
>                        Minor storm           10/05/05
>                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01
>
>                        B.  High Latitudes
>                        Active                30/25/20
>                        Minor storm           15/10/05
>                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01
>
>
> **  End of Daily Report  **
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>
>
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