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[Propagation] Fw: [Prelimsolar] PRELIMINARY Daily Solar GeophysicalActiv

To: "a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>
Subject: [Propagation] Fw: [Prelimsolar] PRELIMINARY Daily Solar GeophysicalActivity Report for 03 April
From: "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>
Date: Sun, 3 Apr 2005 20:11:26 -0400
List-post: <mailto:propagation@contesting.com>
>         /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
>
>           PRELIMINARY DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
>
>                                 03 APRIL, 2005
>
>         /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
>
>                         (Based in-part on SEC Data.)
>                (The final report will be released tommorrow.)
>
>
> PRELIMINARY SOLAR & GEOPHYSICAL INDICES FOR 03 APRIL, 2005
> ----------------------------------------------------------
>
>      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:  88.2,  87.7,  88.4 sfu.
>          Predicted Solar Flux for Next 3 Days: 80, 90, 90.
>                     Average 90-day Solar Flux:  96.
>               Current Middle Latitude A-Index:   6
>                     Current Boulder K-Indices: 1221 132*
>                   Current Planetary K-Indices: 1211 122*
>                Boulder A-Index 3-Day Forecast:  15,  12,  10.
>              Planetary A-Index 3-Day Forecast:  30,  20,  12.
>
>
> SYNOPSIS OF TODAYS ACTIVITY
> ---------------------------
>
>             Solar activity was very low.
>
>            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
>       low with a slight chance for an isolated C-flare.
>
>            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
>
>            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
>       expected to be unsettled to active with minor storm periods possible
>       on 04 april as a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream becomes
>       geoeffective.  On 05 april, quiet to active conditions are expected.
>       On 06 april, quiet to unsettled conditions are expected.
>
>            Event probabilities 04 apr-06 apr
>
>                             Class M    01/01/01
>                             Class X    01/01/01
>                             Proton     01/01/01
>                             PCAF       green
>
>            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 04 apr-06 apr
>
>                        A.  Middle Latitudes
>                        Active                30/25/25
>                        Minor storm           15/15/10
>                        Major-severe storm    10/05/01
>
>                        B.  High Latitudes
>                        Active                40/35/25
>                        Minor storm           30/15/15
>                        Major-severe storm    15/10/05
>
>
> **  End of Daily Report  **
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>
>
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