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[Propagation] Fw: [Prelimsolar] PRELIMINARY Daily Solar GeophysicalActiv

To: "a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>
Subject: [Propagation] Fw: [Prelimsolar] PRELIMINARY Daily Solar GeophysicalActivity Report for 24 April
From: "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>
Date: Sun, 24 Apr 2005 19:10:29 -0400
List-post: <mailto:propagation@contesting.com>
>         /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
>
>           PRELIMINARY DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
>
>                                 24 APRIL, 2005
>
>         /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
>
>                         (Based in-part on SEC Data.)
>                (The final report will be released tommorrow.)
>
>
> PRELIMINARY SOLAR & GEOPHYSICAL INDICES FOR 24 APRIL, 2005
> ----------------------------------------------------------
>
>      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
>          Predicted Solar Flux for Next 3 Days: 85, 90, 90.
>                     Average 90-day Solar Flux:  89.
>               Current Middle Latitude A-Index:  10
>                     Current Boulder K-Indices: 3322 232*
>                   Current Planetary K-Indices: 3422 222*
>                Boulder A-Index 3-Day Forecast:   8,   5,   5.
>              Planetary A-Index 3-Day Forecast:  10,   8,   5.
>
>
> SYNOPSIS OF TODAYS ACTIVITY
> ---------------------------
>
>             Solar activity continues at very low levels. There are
>       currently no sunspots on the visible disk. Occasional B-class flares
>       were associated with activity in a new region rotating on the east
>       limb near S05. This region was the likely source of cme activity on
>       22 april.
>
>            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
>       low to low. The new region rotating on the southeast limb may
>       elevate activity levels.
>
>            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated 
> active
>       periods. A weak recurrent coronal hole high speed stream continues.
>       Solar wind speed is elevated to near 550 km/s, but the imf bz is
>       weak and predominantly northward.
>
>            Geophysical activity forecast:  the  geomagnetic field is
>       expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods on 25
>       april. Expect mostly quiet conditions on 26 and 27 april as the
>       current high speed solar wind stream subsides.
>
>            Event probabilities 25 apr-27 apr
>
>                             Class M    05/05/05
>                             Class X    01/01/01
>                             Proton     01/01/01
>                             PCAF       green
>
>            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 25 apr-27 apr
>
>                        A.  Middle Latitudes
>                        Active                20/15/15
>                        Minor storm           05/05/05
>                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01
>
>                        B.  High Latitudes
>                        Active                25/20/20
>                        Minor storm           10/05/05
>                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01
>
>
> **  End of Daily Report  **
> _______________________________________________




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