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[Propagation] Sunspot arrival?

To: propagation <propagation@contesting.com>
Subject: [Propagation] Sunspot arrival?
From: "Tomas Hood" <nw7us@hfradio.org>
Date: Wed, 07 Jul 2010 17:30:11 -0600
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The background hard X-ray flux (1 to 8 Angstrom wavelength) is still low  
(A-class). However, the flux has increased slightly in the past 24 to 48  
hours. Trans-polar ionospheric propagation has been moderate to good in  
the last 24 to 48 hours. Expect the same for the next 24 hours. HF  
propagation is mostly normal over most paths.

The sunspot count will decrease by tomorrow (late July 8, 2010), and  
possibly become zero. However, the possible sunspot region that is  
rotating into view in the next 24 to 32 hours may make brief the  
zero-sunspot period. Additionally, expect an increase in overall solar  
energy starting this weekend, strengthening the ionosphere. It is possible  
that the background hard X-ray flux (1-8 Angstrom wavelengths) will rise  
into the B class over the weekend and through early next week.

The possible sunspot region that we are seeing rotate into view in the  
next couple of days, is erupting with flares. If this is a true sunspot  
region, with flares, expect quite an increase in both Maximum Usable  
Frequencies (MUFs), but also some periods of Sudden Ionospheric  
Disturbances lasting from 15 to 60 minutes (when a flare occurs).

Updates will be posted at <http://prop.hfradio.org> - as well as near-live  
images.

Facebook:  
<http://www.facebook.com/pages/Space-Weather-and-Radio-Resources-at-HFRadioorg/367220874615>

-- 
73 de NW7US, Tomas David Hood ( http://tomas-david-hood.com )

Contributing editor, Propagation Columns:
   CQ Magazine, CQ VHF, Popular Communications

Main Page: http://hfradio.org/
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