[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2019 Feb 03 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2019 Feb 03 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low. The solar disk remained spotless and no CMEs were observed in available imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to persist at very low levels on 03-05 Feb.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels this period with a peak flux of 11,372 pfu observed at 02/2005 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach high levels on 03-05 Feb with a slight chance for very high levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters remained enhanced this period under continued, but weakening negative polarity CH HSS influence.

Forecast: CH HSS influence is expected to weaken over 03-04 Feb. An additional enhancement is expected on 05 Feb due to the influence of another negative polarity CH HSS.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet to active levels this period under continued, but weakening CH HSS influence.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 03-04 Feb as current CH HSS influence wanes. Active conditions are expected on 05 Feb due to the influence of another negative polarity CH HSS.

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Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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