[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2019 Oct 22 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2019 Oct 22 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available satellite imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to persist at very low levels on 22-24 Oct.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was normal and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be normal to moderate on 22-24 Oct, and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to continue at background levels throughout the forecast period.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters were at background levels under a nominal solar wind regime.

Forecast: Weak enhancements in the near-Earth solar wind environment are still possible on 22 Oct due to the influence of a negative polarity CH HSS. Background solar wind conditions are expected on 23 Oct with the return to a nominal solar wind regime. Late on 24 Oct, a CIR ahead of an anticipated positive polarity CH HSS is expected to produce enhancements in the solar wind environment that are expected to last beyond this forecast period.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled this period.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to reach unsettled levels, with isolated active periods on 22 Oct with possible impacts from the negative polarity CH HSS. Generally quiet conditions are expected to prevail on 23 Oct with the return of a nominal solar wind regime. Late on 24 Oct, a positive polarity CH HSS is expected to move into a geoeffective position, increasing activity to mostly unsettled to active levels, with isolated G1 (minor) storm periods.

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Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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