[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2019 Nov 14 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2019 Nov 14 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity remained very low and sunspots were no longer present on the visible disk. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: Very low solar activity is expected to continue 14-16 Nov.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux briefly reached moderate levels, but was otherwise normal. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux continued at background values.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal levels 14-16 Nov and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to maintain background levels.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters were indicative of a slow regime. Total IMF strength was primarily less than 5 nT and the Bz component underwent only weak deviations. Solar wind speed ranged mainly from 325-350 km/s and the phi angle was predominantly negative, but did undergo a few brief deviations into a positive sector.

Forecast: A slow solar wind regime is anticipated to continue 14-15 Nov. Minor enhancements are possible beginning 16 Nov due to influences of a negative polarity CH HSS.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to remain quiet 14-15 Nov. Unsettled to active conditions are likely to be reached 16 Nov due to CH HSS effects.

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