[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2020 Feb 02 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2020 Feb 02 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low. Region 2757 (N03, L=095) quietly rotated off the disk as plage. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels on 02-04 Feb.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

Forecast: Normal to moderate electron flux levels are expected to persist through 04 Feb while proton flux levels are expected to continue at background levels.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters remained slightly enhanced over the period with solar wind speed ranging from 394-499 km/s. Total field ranged from 2-7 nT while the Bz component varied between +4/-6 nT. Phi angle was mostly negative with intermittent variations into a positive sector between 01/0815-1640 UTC.

Forecast: Solar wind parameters are expected to continue to be slightly enhanced due to possible intermittent connections with a negative polarity, polar crown CH HSS on 02-04 Feb.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

Forecast: Quiet to unsettled levels are expected on 02-04 Feb due to intermittent connections with the negative polar crown CH HSS.

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