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[Propagation+Space Weather] The W1AW Weekly Propagation Report - 2020 Ju

To: propagation@contesting.com
Subject: [Propagation+Space Weather] The W1AW Weekly Propagation Report - 2020 Jun 26 20:19 UTC
From: nw7us@sunspotwatch.com
Reply-to: Practical radio-wave propagation and space weather <propagation@contesting.com>
Date: Fri, 26 Jun 2020 20:19:35 +0000
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The following is the weekly propagation bulletin from W1AW / ARRL (posting on 20200626 20:19 UTC):

QST de W1AW Propagation Forecast Bulletin 26 ARLP026 >From Tad Cook, K7RA Seattle, WA June 26, 2020 To all radio amateurs

SB PROP ARL ARLP026 ARLP026 Propagation de K7RA

No sunspots were observed since June 15, when the daily sunspot number was 11. This does not mean there were 11 sunspots seen, but instead it means that one sunspot group was observed containing one sunspot. The sunspot number is derived by assigning 10 points for each sunspot group, and one point for each sunspot. So 11 is the minimum non-zero sunspot number.

On June 8 the daily sunspot number was 17, indicating 7 sunspots in one group.

If those seven sunspots had been in two groups, the sunspot number would be reported as 27.

Last week's bulletin Propagation Forecast Bulletin ARLP025 reported an average daily sunspot number of 7.9, and of course with no sunspots, this week that number dropped to 0.

Average daily solar flux declined from 70 to 67.7.

The Sun has gone quiet again, as http://www.spaceweather.com reported this week.

Geomagnetic indicators are still very quiet, but the average planetary A index rose from 3.9 to 4.6 and the average middle latitude A index rose from 4.9 to 5.6. These values are insignificant.

Predicted solar flux for the next 45 days is 69 on June 26 through July 3, 70 on July 4-12, 68 on July 13-25, 70 on July 26 through August 8 and 68 on August 9.

Predicted planetary A index is 5 on June 26, 8 on June 27, 5 on June 28 through July 3, then 8, 5, 8 and 8 on July 4-7, 5 on July 8-30, then 8, 5, 8 and 8 again on July 31 through August 3, and 5 on August 4-9.

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period June 26 until July 22, 2020 from F.K. Janda, OK1HH.

'Geomagnetic field will be quiet on: June 28, 30, July 1, (2,) 3, (6,) 9-11, 14-15, 18-20, 22 quiet to unsettled on: June 27, 29, July 4, 8, 12-13, 17, 21 quiet to active on: (June 26, July 5, 7, 16) unsettled to active: nothing predicted active to disturbed: nothing predicted 'Solar wind will intensify on: June 26-27, (28-30,) July (4,) 5-8, (9-10, 16-18, 22). 'Parenthesis means lower probability of activity enhancement. The predictability of changes remains lower as there are very few indications.'

A new video from Dr, Tamitha Skov, WX6SWW:

https://youtu.be/0bs3cHgBrVw

A Phys.org article on the inner workings of our Sun:

https://phys.org/news/2020-06-motions-sun-reveal-sunspot.html

Highly technical article on sunspots from Astronomy and Astrophysics:

https://www.aanda.org/articles/aa/pdf/forth/aa37739-20.pdf

This weekend is ARRL Field Day, the most popular annual operating event.

The 2020 Field Day has a rule waiver for this year allowing Class D stations operating from home and on commercial power to work each other. In the past they could only work all the other classes of stations.

Some operators don't realize that Field Day has only minimal logging requirements, just submit a list or dupe sheet for each band/mode showing the calls of the stations worked, and a summary sheet. There is no requirement to log the time of each contact, or even record the section or any report from stations you work. See the rules at:

http://www.arrl.org/files/file/Field-Day/2020/1_61-2020%20Rules.pdf

If you would like to make a comment or have a tip for our readers, email the author at, k7ra@arrl.net. For more information concerning radio propagation, see http://www.arrl.org/propagation and the ARRL Technical Information Service web page at, at http://arrl.org/propagation-of-rf-signals. For an explanation of numbers used in this bulletin, see http://arrl.org/the-sun-the-earth-the-ionosphere.

An archive of past propagation bulletins is at http://arrl.org/w1aw-bulletins-archive-propagation. More good information and tutorials on propagation are at http://k9la.us/.

Monthly propagation charts between four USA regions and twelve overseas locations are at http://arrl.org/propagation.

Instructions for starting or ending email distribution of ARRL bulletins are at http://arrl.org/bulletins.

Sunspot numbers for June 18 through 24, 2020 were 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, and 0, with a mean of 0. 10.7 cm flux was 67.9, 68.8, 67.8, 67.6, 67.6, 67.1, and 66.9, with a mean of 67.7. Estimated planetary A indices were 4, 5, 6, 4, 4, 4, and 5, with a mean of 4.6. Middle latitude A index was 5, 7, 7, 4, 3, 6, and 7, with a mean of 5.6.


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Be sure to subscribe to our space weather and propagation email group, on Groups.io

https://groups.io/g/propagation-and-space-weather

Spread the word!

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Links of interest:

+ Amazon space weather books: http://g.nw7us.us/fbssw-aSWSC
+ https://Twitter.com/NW7US
+ https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx

Space Weather and Ham Radio YouTube Channel News:

I am working on launching a YouTube channel overhaul, that includes series of videos about space weather, radio signal propagation, and more.

Additionally, I am working on improving the educational efforts via the email, Facebook, YouTube, Tumblr, and other activities.

You can help!

Please consider becoming a Patron of these space weather and radio communications services, beginning with the YouTube channel:

https://www.patreon.com/NW7US

The YouTube channel:
https://YouTube.com/NW7US

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The W1AW Weekly Propagation Report - 2020 Jun 26 20:19 UTC

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