[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2020 Aug 10 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2020 Aug 10 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity remained at very low levels. Region 2770 (N23W12, Hsx/alpha) was quiet and stable over the period. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels, with a slight chance for C-class flares, on 10-12 Aug.

Energetic Particles

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels with a peak flux of 2,503 pfu observed at 09/1800 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is anticipated to reach high levels on 10-11 Aug and moderate levels by 12 Aug. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels for the forecast period.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters, as measured by the DSCOVR spacecraft, reflected a nominal environment throughout the period. Total magnetic field strength was at or below 6 nT while the Bz component varied weakly between +5 to -3 nT. Solar wind speeds averaged about 340 km/s. The phi angle was oriented in a near steady positive solar sector throughout the period.

Forecast: Solar wind parameters are expected to remain at mostly nominal levels over 10-12 Aug.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet on 10-12 Aug under a mostly nominal solar wind regime.

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Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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