[Propagation+Space Weather] Weekly Propagation Summary - 2020 Oct 05 16:10 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is this week's space weather and geophysical report, issued 2020 Oct 05 0128 UTC.

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 28 September - 04 October 2020

Solar activity was very low throughout the period. No active regions with sunspots were observed and no Earth-directed CMEs were detected.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels on 28 Sep-04 Oct.

Geomagnetic field activity reached active to G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 28 Sep, with quiet to active levels observed on 29 Sep-01 Oct, due to positive polarity CH HSS influences. Quiet and quiet to unsetteld conditions were observed throughout the remainder of the period under a nominal solar wind regime.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 05 October - 31 October 2020

Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 05-10 Oct, and 21-31 Oct. Normal to moderate levels are expected on 11-20 Oct.

Geomagnetic field activity is likely to reach G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storm levels on 25 Oct, with G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms likely on 21-24 Oct, due to the anticipated influences of recurrent, positive polarity CH HSSs. Active conditions are expected on 20, 26-28 Oct. Quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions are expected to prevail throughout the remainder of the outlook period.

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