[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2020 Nov 07 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2020 Nov 07 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity continued at very low to low levels with multiple low level C-class flares observed from Region 2781 (S23E22, Eki/beta-gamma). Separation of the trailing spots was observed along with slight penumbral decay in the intermediate spots of the region. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

Forecast: Continued C-class flare activity is expected to persist over 07-09 Nov, with a slight chance for M-class flare activity.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels with a peak flux of 1,070 pfu observed at 06/1605 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach high levels on 07 Nov. Moderate levels are expected on 08-09 Nov. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters were enhanced under a negative polarity CH HSS. Solar wind speed ranged from 428-541 km/s. Total field ranged from 2-8 nT while the Bz component was between +7/-4 nT. Phi angle was oriented in a negative (towards) solar sector.

Forecast: Slightly enhanced solar wind conditions are expected on 07 Nov as negative polarity CH HSS influence persists. Nominal conditions are expected over 08-09 Nov.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.

Forecast: Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 07 Nov due to negative polarity CH HSS influence. Generally quiet conditions are expected to prevail on 08-09 Nov under a nominal solar wind regime.

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