[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2021 Feb 10 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2021 Feb 10 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low. There were no numbered sunspot regions. There were no Earth-directed CMEs observed in available imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels on 10-12 Feb.

Energetic Particles

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to moderate levels throughout the forecast period (10-12 Feb). The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters continued to decrease to near background-like levels over the course of the period as positive polarity CH HSS influence waned. Total field averaged 2-5 nT, the Bz component was mostly neutral or northward, and wind speeds fell from ~475 km/s to ~410 km/s. Phi was in a predominantly positive solar sector.

Forecast: The solar wind environment is expected to continue a downward trend over the course of 10 Feb with ambient, background conditions prevailing 11-12 Feb.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

Forecast Mostly quiet conditions are anticipated 10-12 Feb.

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Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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