[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2021 Nov 13 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2021 Nov 13 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity reached low levels due to an impulsive C1/sf flare at 13/0843 UTC from Region 2894 (S28W27, Dso/beta-gamma). Region 2894 developed a trailer spot with rudimentary penumbra along with several smaller intermediate spots. Region 2895 (N23W13, Axx/alpha) continued to exhibit decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels, with a chance for C-class flares on 13-15 Nov.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to moderate levels on 13-15 Nov. The greater than 10 proton flux is expected to remain at background levels.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters were nominal with solar wind speed ranging from 330-386 km/s. Total field ranged from 3-5 nT while the Bz component was between +3/-2 nT. Phi angle was oriented in a negative sector.

Forecast: Nominal solar wind conditions are anticipated through 15 Nov.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet through 15 Nov, with a chance for isolated unsettled periods.

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Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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