[Propagation+Space Weather] Weekly Propagation Summary - 2022 Mar 07 16:10 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is this week's space weather and geophysical report, issued 2022 Mar 07 0141 UTC.

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 28 February - 06 March 2022

Solar activity ranged from very low to moderate levels throughout the week. The largest event of the period was an M2/1b flare observed at 02/1739 UTC from Region 2958 (N17, L=035, class/area=Bxo/60 on 03 Mar). Regions 2957 (S16, L=038, class/area=Dai/240 on 05 Mar) and 2960 (S20, L=335, class/area=Dki/450 on 05 Mar) were the most active regions throughout the week, but produced only C-flares. Multiple DSFs were detected during the summary period, however, none were expected to be Earth-directed.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels on 06 Mar, with normal to moderate levels observed throughout the remainder of the week.

Geomagnetic field activity reached active and minor (G1) storm levels on 05-06 Mar due to the influence of a series of negative polarity CH HSSs. Quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions were observed throughout the remainder of the summary period.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 07 March - 02 April 2022

Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the period, with C-flares likely and a chance for M-flares.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 07-10, 20-23 Mar, and 02 Apr. Normal to moderate levels are expected throughout the remainder of the outlook period.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach minor (G1) storm levels on 01-02 Apr, and active levels on 11-12, 19-21, and 31 Mar in response to multiple CH HSSs moving through geoeffective position. Quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions are expected to prevail throughout the remainder of the period.

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