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[Propagation+Space Weather] Weekly Propagation Summary - 2022 Oct 31 16:

To: propagation@contesting.com
Subject: [Propagation+Space Weather] Weekly Propagation Summary - 2022 Oct 31 16:10 UTC
From: nw7us@sunspotwatch.com
Reply-to: Practical radio-wave propagation and space weather <propagation@contesting.com>
Date: Mon, 31 Oct 2022 16:10:09 +0000
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Here is this week's space weather and geophysical report, issued 2022 Oct 31 0117 UTC.

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 24 - 30 October 2022

Solar activity was at low levels during the period. Weak to moderate levels of C-class activity was observed from Regions 3126 (S10, L=233, class/area Dai/160 on 25 Oct), 3130 (S25, L=185, class/area Dao/090 on 27 Oct), 3131 (N23, L=111, class/area Cso/190 on 27 Oct), 3133 (N26, L=095, class/area Dao/140 on 28 Oct) and 3135 (N27, L=063, class/area Eao/160 on 30 Oct). No Earth-directed CMEs were detected during the period.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal to moderate levels on 24-29 October. High levels were observed on 30 Oct with a peak flux of 3,715 pfu observed at 30/1735 UTC.

Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to G1 (Minor) storm levels during the period. Quiet to unsettled levels were observed from 24-27 October. Activity levels increased to unsettled to active on 28 October, unsettled to G1 (Minor) storm levels on 29 October and quiet to active levels on 30 October. The increase in activity on 28-30 October was due to positive polarity coronal high speed stream effects.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 31 October - 26 November 2022

Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low levels on 31 Oct - 02 Nov and 18 - 26 Nov. There is a slight chance for M-class activity on 03 - 17 Nov due to the return of previously active regions with M-class flare history.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at moderate to high levels on 31 Oct - 09 Nov and 26 Nov. Low to moderate levels are expected on 10 - 25 Nov.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active levels on 31 Oct - 06 Nov, 10-12 Nov, 18-19 Nov and 24-26 Nov. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels are possible on 05, 18 and 25 Nov. This elevated level of activity is in anticipation of mulitple, recurrent CH HSSs. The remainder of the outlook period is likely to be at mostly quiet levels.

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Live Aurora mapping is at http://aurora.sunspotwatch.com/

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Weekly Propagation Summary - 2022 Oct 31 16:10 UTC

Live data and images: SunSpotWatch.com

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