To: | topband@contesting.com |
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Subject: | Topband: 160m at solar max |
From: | Bill Tippett <btippett@alum.mit.edu> |
Date: | Tue, 09 Mar 2004 07:39:23 -0500 |
List-post: | <mailto:topband@contesting.com> |
K9LA wrote: >Without this influence from the high latitude ionosphere (unlike those of us poor souls farther north), his log data tends to confirm that the quiet (undisturbed) nighttime ionosphere in terms of absorption isn't all that different between solar max and solar min. I disagree Carl. Your data did not include anything from the solar minimum years (95-97). I'm at 35 N and Tom is at 33 N, and I can tell you that the conditions in the 95-97 period were simply MUCH better than they are now. Signal strengths from JA's would actually sometimes be S9 on the meter, and signals from EU would be well over S9, and so strong that you could work lots of Russians on SSB. They just aren't that strong now. Here's NOAA data showing historical average flux (middle graph) and average Ap indices (bottom graph): http://www.sec.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/ As the graphs show, some of the best conditions are actually just after the new cycle begins, when geomagnetic activity (Ap) is at its lowest (1996-97 on the bottom graph above). Just for a little more data from all areas of the world, here are when current 160 records were set in the CQ WW CW by Zone: 1974 - 22 <- cycle low 1977 - 38 1978 - 32 1985 - 06, 09, 10, 23, 29 <- cycle low 1986 - 13 1990 - 25 1993 - 35 1995 - 01, 02, 03, 04, 14, 15, 19, 21, 40 <- cycle low 1996 - 08, 11, 26, 27, 30, 39 1997 - 07, 16, 31, 33 1998 - 05 1999 - 20 2000 - 17, 18 2002 - 28 NONE - 12, 24, 34, 36, 37 (opportunity!) Source: http://cqww.com/zone_c.htm It seems fairly clear to me that every area of the world benefits from the low absorption and low geomagnetic activity which we see at cycle bottoms and a year or two after, independent of latitude. http://www.spacew.com/swim/bigstorm.html 73, Bill W4ZV
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