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[VHFcontesting] Rover Activity and otherwise in June ARRL VHF

To: VHF Contesting Reflector <vhfcontesting@contesting.com>
Subject: [VHFcontesting] Rover Activity and otherwise in June ARRL VHF
From: James Duffey <jamesduffey@comcast.net>
Date: Thu, 16 Jul 2009 22:05:24 -0600
List-post: <vhfcontesting@contesting.com">mailto:vhfcontesting@contesting.com>
The log submittal deadline for the June VHF contest is over. There  
were 1023 electronic logs submitted and with the paper logs not yet  
counted, it appears that activity will be close to what it was last  
year and continue the healthy activity that the contest has shown over  
the past 5 years or so.


There were 93 rover entries, 53 in the Classic Rover category, 34 in  
the Limited Rover category, and 5 in the unlimited category. By  
comparison, in 2008 there were 96 rover entries, 62 in the Classic  
Rover Category, 26 in the Limited Rover category and 8 in the  
Unlimited Rover category. The Limited Rover category is growing,  
apparently at the expense of the Classic Rover category. It appears  
that the more restrictive rules governing the Limited Rover category  
did not deter activity, quite the opposite, the category is growing in  
popularity.


The new rules appeared to curtail the coordinated roving activity from  
California, as only one call from the 15 or so that have participated  
in that activity over the past few years appears in the logs  
submitted. It is a shame that there were eight 10 band VHF/UHF  
stations that appeared to be dormant in this year's contest. I think  
that this is a bad sign, with that activity, rover activity would have  
been at a hew high. I hope that some of these stations found their way  
into fixed, portable, or other rovers.


According to the 3830 list, KO4MA scored an impressive 61,880 in the  
Limited Rover category, in no small part by visiting 22 grids! My  
earlier calculation showed that KG6TOA's score from last year would  
have been around 48,000 if his contacts on the 4 microwave bands had  
been translated directly to 6/2/1.35/0.7 meters. So it is likely that  
if a coordinated rover activity had been conducted in the Limited  
Rover Category this year, KO4MA would have won, or at least been  
competitive with the coordinated rovers.


The 5 entries in the Unlimited Rover Category appear to not have  
participated in coordinated roving activities. Instead they chose to  
enter the division for other reasons, using on-site power, not having  
to carry all the equipment used, having multiple ops, or simply to  
make a point. This division has yet to gain traction.


The migration from the Classic Rover class to the Limited Rover class  
mirrors what has happened in the Limited Mult/Multi classes. In the  
long run this is probably not good for microwave activity in all  
categories, not just the rovers. Which probably means at some level it  
is not good for VHF/UHF contesting.


Comparing the activity in the Rover class(es) since its inception is  
interesting

Year  Entries  Rovers   % Rover of total  Notes
2009  1023      93       9.1              no paper logs included in  
these tallies
2008  1074      96       8.9
2007   860      98      11.3
2006  1047      96       9.2
2005   840      92      11.2
2004   766      91      11.9
2003   818      92      11.2
2002   672      84      12.5
2001   680      61       9.0
2000   749      62       8.3
1999   701      75      10.7
1998   865      72       8.3
1997   837      74       8.8
1996   923      72       7.8
1995   837      52       6.2             Rover rules changed to  
current scoring
1994   781      68       8.7
1993   818      63       7.7             Rules change in response to  
grid circling
1992   840      64       7.6
1991   710      50       7.0             Rover class initiated



What does this tell us? Well for one thing, rovers are pretty reliable  
in turning in their logs. Since 2003, there was a +/- 3% variation in  
rover logs turned in while the entries as a whole varied +/- 10% or  
so. I guess most rovers figure that if they are to go to the all the  
effort required to rove they will damn well turn in a log, no matter  
how mediocre the results are. Your casual contestant is probably more  
likely to turn in a log if band conditions are good to great, like  
lots of Es and tropo.


What is interesting is that the initial rover rules changes in 1993,  
initiated by the first big grid circling effort that had an impact on  
club scores, did not impact activity by much. But the rules adjustment  
for 1995, intended to boost rover scores a bit and placate the rover's  
complaints about the new scoring system, resulted in a big drop in  
activity, at least for one year. But the long term big migration away  
from the rover class due to the rules changes that is often talked  
about is not evident in these numbers, at least over the long haul.


What is interesting is the upturn in rover activity in 2002 which was  
sustained in subsequent years. This is certainly not traceable to any  
changes in the rules, and I don't think it is traceable to the  
reduction in code requirements which occurred in 2001. After some  
thought, I think that this uptick in rover activity may well be caused  
by the DC to Daylight rigs introduced in ca.1999 - 2000, which  
incorporated 6M/2M/70cm.  It took a couple of years for these to  
become widespread and adapted by rovers.


Speculation is always fun. - Duffey





--
KK6MC
James Duffey
Cedar Crest NM





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