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[VHFcontesting] September 2009 Rover Activity

To: VHF Contesting Reflector <vhfcontesting@contesting.com>
Subject: [VHFcontesting] September 2009 Rover Activity
From: James Duffey <jamesduffey@comcast.net>
Date: Thu, 25 Feb 2010 19:52:45 -0700
List-post: <vhfcontesting@contesting.com">mailto:vhfcontesting@contesting.com>
Rover activity in the September contest was very healthy, having grown to 82 
this year from a Hurricane Ike induced low of 52 in 2008. All of this growth 
was in the Limited Rover Category. This seems to indicate that the Limited 
Rover Category is attracting new participants to roving, and to the September 
VHF contest as a whole, or at least getting inactive rovers going again. This 
is what was intended when the category was initiated. Of the 112 increase in 
entrants to this years contest over 2008, 31 came from rovers. The Classic 
Rover category stayed strong, only slightly dropping in activity from 2008. I, 
and others feared that the Limited Rover category would siphon off participants 
from the Rover category. This does not appear to be happening in significant 
numbers in the September contest, although with only 2 data points, it is bold 
to talk trends. The Unlimited Rover category remains a disappointment, with 
only 3 entrants, the same as last year.
 
The September 2009 contest had the highest rover participation, both in terms 
of numbers and percentage of participation, of any September contest since 
roving was added in 1991. In the fall at least, roving is alive and well.

The Southern California Contest Club rovers concentrated their activity in the 
Classic Rover class to maximize their contribution to the SCCC club entry. As a 
result, the SCCC won their club category handily. There appear to me to be 
several other strategies to significant;y increase club scores with coordinated 
rover activity, so I expect to see other clubs developing their own coordinated 
rover strategy to increase club scores in future contests.  This participation 
in the Classic Rover class left the Limited Rover category as the VUAC 
envisioned it, that is with no grid circling entries, and KO4MA/r racked up an 
impressive score in the Limited Rover Class without the help of Es. 

It is disappointing to see the low participation in the Unlimited Rover 
category. The pack rovers have not moved up to this class, in part due to the 
fact that scores in this class do not count for club scores, and in part due to 
the perceived lack of competition in this class, which is of course a Catch-22 
situation.   Activity in this class has been for reasons, still valid, other 
than those envisioned when the class was started. Although this category 
probably has the most wide open rules of any class in contesting, these rules 
have to a large extent not been utilized by contesters. Perhaps it is a bit 
much to expect to divide an active roving group of 80 to 100 contesters into 3 
viable groups. After a while you lose critical mass in one or more of the 
categories. That may be the case for the Unlimited Rover category.

Below is a table of Rover activity in the September VHF QSO Party going back to 
1991, the year that roving was added as a category. 

Table - Rover Activity in the ARRL September VHF QSO Party 1991 to 2009.  
                                                
Year    Rover   LR      UR      All R   All     % Rover 
2009    33      47      3       83      594     14.0
2008    36      13      3       52      482     10.8 LR, UR added
2007    66                      66      561     11.8
2006    72                      72      531     13.6
2005    64                      64      629     10.2
2004    68                      68      558     12.2
2003    69                      69      520     13.3
2002    62                      62      535     11.6
2001    51                      51      553     9.2
2000    65                      65      583     11.1
1999    63                      63      606     10.4
1998    58                      58      617     9.4
1997    68                      68      751     9.1 
1996    54                      54      700     7.7  Rules Change
1995    46                      46      686     6.7  Rules Change
1994    57                      57      687     8.3
1993    62                      61      621     9.8 
1992    43                      46      591     7.8
1991    30                      30      415     7.2  First Rover Class          
                                

LR - Limited Rover
UR - Unlimited Rover

This data came from the ARRL Online Scores database back to 2002, the K5TR 
database for entry totals back to 1995, and the ARRL PDFs of QST articles for 
the other data. In some cases the total number of entries or number of rover 
entries were not explicitly stated in the write ups, so I counted the line 
scores by hand. As a result, there may be a slight difference of the total data 
that I counted to the actual totals. I am open to others doing their own count. 
:^)=

Overall, rover participation in this contest has been fairly healthy since 
1997, the year that rover activity began to recover from the two sets of rule 
changes implemented to moderate the impact of grid circling entries. Rover 
activity in the last decade has been healthy, and with the exception of the 
decreases in 2001 and 2008, and the big increase in 2009, has been fairly 
constant. Lets hope that activity continues to rise, or at the very least, not 
drop off.

Of course with the small sample sizes, errors can be large in projecting trends 
and conclusions based on these numbers are certainly not iron clad. But it is 
fun to try. 

I will try to do a similar analysis for the January Contest when the scores are 
posted. - Duffey
--
KK6MC
James Duffey
Cedar Crest NM





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