[CCF] Tulkinta-apua

korpela@mappi.helsinki.fi korpela@mappi.helsinki.fi
Fri, 23 Nov 2001 09:57:17 +0200 (EET)


Alla oleva on noaa.gov -sivuilta. Kannattaako vaivautua, vai
onko syytä "heittää hanskat tiskiin"? Mitä sanovat "aurora
dischargerit"?

Ilkka, OH1WZ (SO?0HP)

3-day Solar-Geophysical Forecast issued Nov 22 at 22:00 UTC 
Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to persist at low to 
moderate levels for the next three days. Region 9704 is expected to remain a 
principle source of flare activity. 
Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be 
predominantly quiet to unsettled through November 23, with an increase to 
active and isolated minor storm conditions expected for November 24 and 25, due 
to yesterday's and today's CME activity. An energetic proton event is expected 
to develop within the next few hours due to the flare event described in 
section 1A above. 

V.  Geomagnetic A IndicesObserved Afr/Ap 21 Nov  002/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Nov  008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Nov-25 Nov  010/010-018/020-020/020

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Nov-25 NovA.  
Middle Latitudes
Active                15/25/30
Minor storm           05/10/15
Major-severe storm    01/05/05B.  
High Latitudes
Active                20/35/35
Minor storm           05/15/15
Major-severe storm    01/10/10

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