[CQ-Contest] Re: Demographics

[T A RUSSELL]

N4KG comment / question interleaved in text.

On Tue, 4 Nov 1997 18:35:27 -0800 (PST) Ward Silver
<hwardsil at WOLFENET.com> writes:
>
>> If you assume the average age of license is 15, contesting will 
>> slowly die due to lack of participation, starting in about 20 years. 
>
>> It's really amazing how few of the total were licensed since 1980...
>> --
>> Barry Kutner, W2UP              Internet: w2up at itw.com
>

>Well, not exactly...there are a goodly number of the people that are 
>still to get interested in contesting that don't show up in the
histogram.  
>They will make the late-80's/90's 'tail' grow in size by a sizable
factor 
>over the next cycle's worth of good propagation.

	HUH?  You mean when propagation improves all the 
	80's and 90's guys are going to come out of the woodwork
	and the OT's will fade into the sunset, thereby changing
	the demographics?  What are you smoking Ward?
	....de  Tom  N4KG


>Has anyone ever done a comparative study of check distribution in the
>50's, 60's, 70's, 80's?  It would be real interesting to see how the
>demographics change over time. (Maybe after contest season...whenever 
>that
>is...)
>
>73, Ward N0AX



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