Fwd: Re: [CQ-Contest] Polling

[Tom Frenaye]

Some excerpts from messages N4ZR and I exchanged last month...

>At 10:00 AM 1/10/2002 -0500, N4ZR wrote:
>
>>It's worth remembering that a poll of a little over 1000 people is
>>considered statistically representative of the entire adult population of
>>the United States, within +/- 3 percentage points.  You can imagine how
>>small a sample would give comparable results for the ham population of
>>700,000 or so.  That makes it pretty likely that very few contesters are in
>>the sample for any given QST reader poll. 
>
>
>The results of the last 3 ARRL Readex surveys have had error rates of 3.6, 3.6 and 3.5 points.   And yes, out of 160K members, 6K contesters won't be noticed much (4%).   Of those ARRL members on this reflector (about 700?), the percentage is more like 0.4%.  So of roughly 800 surveys returned, only three might be from people on this reflector.
>                                -- Tom

=====
e-mail: k1ki at arrl.org   ARRL New England Division Director  http://www.arrl.org/
Tom Frenaye, K1KI, P O Box J, West Suffield CT 06093 Phone: 860-668-5444


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