[CQ-Contest] At least four more years of solar minimum?

Bob Shohet, KQ2M kq2m at kq2m.com
Sat Dec 8 12:38:12 EST 2018

It would be helpful if they indicated why their prediction for the next 4 years is so dramatically different from that the end of previous sunspot cycles.  This prediction would indicate an especially elongated cycle approaching almost 14 years in length, which to my knowledge, has not been seen in our lifetimes.

Count me as a skeptic of their latest prediction.


Bob  KQ2M

From: donovanf at starpower.net 
Sent: Saturday, December 08, 2018 12:50 AM
To: cq-contest 
Subject: [CQ-Contest] At least four more years of solar minimum?

NOAA updated its predictions for smoothed sunspot numbers and solar flux through the end of 2022. As of last month, their predictions ended in 2019. 
Their prediction shows a smoothed sunspot number of 10 for December 2018, declining to 2 in July 2020 through January 2021, then 1 during February 2021 through January 2022, and 0 after that and through at least the end of 2022. 
I hate predictions, especially about the future... 

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