[CQ-Contest] ARRL November SS is OK for the small station

[George Fremin III]

On Mon, Mar 19, 2018 at 11:10:44AM -0400, Ed Sawyer wrote:

> CW logs received - 2008 (bottom of cycle) - 1417 
> 
> CW logs received - 2017 (just released)  - 1275
> 
> SSB logs received - 2008  - 1870
> 
> SSB logs received - 2016 (latest available) - 1626
> 

There are many factors - and it is more complex than just one rule
change.

Some factors (but not all):

- DX contest band conditions. CQ WW is around these contests.
- Was there a non contest weekend between CQ WW SSB and SS CW?
- Promotion by the ARRL and ohter parties?
- Conditions during the contest - solar and weather - this can impact folks submitting

But for these years I bet the biggest one will be the push from the NCCC and
other clubs.  Lately the NCCC has backed off of their big SS push from 
years past. 

2008 phone 
Potomac Valley Radio Club 22,689,100 325
Northern California Contest Club 20,369,120 278
Society of Midwest Contesters 13,037,472 236
Yankee Clipper Contest Club 8,526,302 117
Minnesota Wireless Assn 6,087,726 95
Mad River Radio Club 4,457,660 55
Florida Contest Group 4,184,318 53
Tennessee Contest Group 3,280,172 51

2016 phone
Potomac Valley Radio Club 14,628,396 247
Society of Midwest Contesters 8,390,900 166
Yankee Clipper Contest Club 4,660,342 90
Minnesota Wireless Assn 4,361,126 106
Frankford Radio Club 3,594,456 52

The last number is the number of entries from the club.

Now I am sure some of those NCCC folks got on the air but not all of them or maybe most.
you would need to look at the numbers per section to really tell what is going on.


> Likely, there are an increasing number of SSB casuals just working some
> activity that don't submit a log and very few on the CW side (my opinion).

Again you would need to look at the logs - but I am sure there are plenty of folks
on both modes that make 50 contacts and do not send in a log.

Log submission data:

      SS LOGS SUBMITTED BY YEAR
 YR    CW PHONE TOTAL
1995 1,368 1,661 3,029
1996 1,266 1,466 2,732
1997 1,340 1,565 2,905
1998 1,296 1,537 2,833
1999 1,172 1,447 2,619
2000 1,238 1,610 2,848
2001 1,268 1,604 2,872
2002 1,319 1,692 3,011
2003 1,240 1,582 2,822
2004 1,230 1,557 2,787
2005 1,204 1,441 2,645
2006 1,326 1,541 2,867
2007 1,261 1,571 2,832
2008 1,418 1,871 3,289
2009 1,553 2,047 3,600
2010 1,464 1,783 3,247
2011 1,404 1,826 3,230
2012 1,291 1,673 2,964
2013 1,402 1,793 3,195
2014 1,301 1,910 3,211
2015 1,350 1,826 3,176
2016 1,302 1,626 2,928
2017 1,275 1,688 2,963


If you look over the long term - you will see that the past few years are not much 
different than it has been all along.  2008/2009/2010/2011 were good years.

Maybe the NCCC guys can tell us when they were doing their big club pushes
Or other clubs too.


-- 
George Fremin III - K5TR
geoiii at kkn.net
http://www.kkn.net/~k5tr