[CQ-Contest] Contesting 10 years from now (2007)

[rjairam at gmail.com]

“Technicians will get active contesting on their new bands, to the chagrin
of many established operators.”

Techs already have a ticket to the biggest contests today on 40, 80, 15 and
10 meters. Why don’t we hear more of them on? Even if you say “CW Is hard”
I hear tons of South American ops on 10 meters phone every contest. It may
not be open to Europe or Asia but it’s definitely open to central and South
America and the caribbean.

Bear in mind as well that the current ARRL proposal has very contest
unfriendly segments and no privileges on the most popular contest band - 20
meters. Unless of course you think they will eventually get access to more
favorable segments.

Ria
N2RJ
On Mon, Mar 26, 2018 at 5:34 PM Sterling Coffey <kawfey at gmail.com> wrote:

> Younger generation chiming in with...contests are going to get a lot less
> active :(
>
> There is a huge contingent of young ops in Region 1 (mostly thanks to
> YOTA) but on the other sides of the world, youth contesters are a little
> less organized. That has hopefully changed with the creation of Young
> Amateurs Radio Club <https://yarc.world/>, the Collegiate Initiative
> <http://www.facebook.com/groups/ARRLCARI>, and some push to bring a
> YOTA-like organization to IARU regions 2 and 3.
>
> All of that pales in comparison to the age of current contesters. I posit
> it's slightly lower than the average, but Sweepstakes reports don't lie
> (although club calls obscure the actual operator's license year, which for
> W0EEE was 1923 whilst everyone who operated was licensed for less than 5
> years.
>
> Here's my thoughts for ham radio contesting in 10 years:
>
>
>    1. Drops in total logs submitted will invoke new categories for youth
>    (and not just Rookie) will spring up, just like the college sub-competition
>    during NAQP and Sweepstakes.
>    2. New AI category
>    3. New "Knobs" category
>    4. Technicians will get active contesting on their new bands, to the
>    chagrin of many established operators.
>    5. SSB & CW will be a mainstay but digi contests will begin to
>    outshine "classic" modes
>    6. WSJT will flesh out the DXpedition mode into a fully fledged
>    contest mode, which will allow multiple QSOs per contact
>    7. Remotes will become ubiquitous and I suspect it'll be put into it's
>    own category.
>    8. More livestreaming. I'd love to see a Ham Radio category on
>    Twitch.tv!
>    9. contest score reporting will be adopted by a majority; no need to
>    upload logs as it's being uploaded in realtime on a qso-by-qso basis
>    10. Additionally, logs are instantaneously and irrefutably
>    cross-checked for authenticity using signed blockchain technology on the
>    ethereum (or similar) network (HamRadioCoin is a thing already!
>    <https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/hamradiocoin/>)
>    11. Bigdata/Neural networking intertwined with real time conditions
>    will tell ops which band, mode, and beam azimuth and elevation pattern to
>    operate for maximum rate
>    12. There will be no need to ask QRL? Your radio determines the best
>    TX frequency in the band and decodes everything in the band simultaneously
>    (so there's also no need to reply to a CQ at the same frequency)
>    1. Expanding on that, there will be AI contests solely dedicated to
>       automatic QSOs (still requiring some semblance of operator intervention to
>       meet regulations) running at rates pushing 1200QSO/hr
>       13. Radio equipment continues their push towards SDR and
>    miniaturization
>    14. New inductor technology shrinks the size and cost of linear
>    amplifiers and power supplies
>    15. But an elecraft K3, FT-*000, TS-990, Flex 6*00 etc...will still
>    sell for the same price as they are today.
>
> Sterling, N0SSC
>
>
> On Mon, Mar 26, 2018 at 11:10 AM, rjairam at gmail.com <rjairam at gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
>> My take on 10 years from now:
>>
>> A lot of the old guard will sadly be SK, with not a lot of replacement
>> from younger generation, unless we do something.
>>
>> Top 3 US for the majors will almost exclusively be remote operation.
>> The only problem is who will be driving.
>>
>> Assisted and non-assisted will be combined for some majors. Sad to see
>> it go, but I am getting used to the idea.
>>
>> CW contest entries will remain stable while SSB and digital may see a
>> modest boost.
>>
>> Digital (HF) contests will include weak signal (WSJT) modes.
>>
>> VHF contests will be nearly all weak signal (WSJT) modes on 6 meters.
>> It's pretty much that way now.
>>
>> HOAs - the South and Southwest US will continue to have tons of HOA
>> issues. As the US East Coast slows in population growth and new
>> housing starts, that's where there will be fewer restrictions. But
>> that comes with two caveats - winter and cost of living, unless you do
>> remote operation.
>>
>> Hams will still like knobbed radios although the market for SDRs is
>> growing.
>>
>> 73
>> Ria
>> N2RJ
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> On Sun, Mar 25, 2018 at 5:32 PM, Mark <markzl3ab at gmail.com> wrote:
>> > I was looking for something else and stumbled across this on the
>> interweb.
>> >
>> > I hope ES5TV doesn't mind me posting the link.  It sure make interesting
>> > reading now.
>> >
>> > http://www.lhv.ee/images/files/2017.pdf
>> >
>> > Any bets on the next ten years?
>> >
>> > 73
>> > Mark ZL3AB
>> > _______________________________________________
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