[RTTY] KN4LF Solar Space Weather and Geomagnetic Outlook

[John Fleming]

Why are these being posted here??

----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf at tampabay.rr.com>
To: "a RTTY Reflector" <rtty at contesting.com>
Sent: Thursday, August 05, 2004 11:07 AM
Subject: [RTTY] KN4LF Solar Space Weather and Geomagnetic Outlook


KN4LF Solar Space Weather and Geomagnetic Outlook

KN4LF Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive:
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm

Posted 1515 UTC August 04, 2004

During the past eight day period geomagnetic conditions have been quiet
Kp-0, 1, 2 to intermittently unsettled Kp-3. The unsettled conditions have
occurred thanks to a high speed solar stream from small but geoeffective
(Earth facing) Coronal Hole #107.

Daily solar flux and sunspot numbers have fallen back to low levels. As of
Wednesday August 04, 2004 the daily solar flux level stood at 86, 85 and 87
and the daily sunspot number was 42. These numbers should once again begin
rising in 3-4 days.

Solar flaring has been in the C class range with only one visible sunspot
group, #10655 in geo-effective position at S09E03 with a beta-gamma magnetic
configuration. This sunspot group is slowly growing and may produce isolated
M class solar flares. Sunspot group number 10654 is now rotating around the
west limb of the Sun.

Solar and space weather conditions should continue rather quiet through at
least August 07-08, 2004. Then guess what? Sunspot group #10649 once again
rotates around the east limb of the Sun. In it's trip around the far side of
the Sun the sunspot group has held together quite nicely. So after the 08th
we can expect a probable return of major solar flaring and geomagnetic
storming.

73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 31 44N 82 09 51 98W

NWS Tampa Bay, FL SKYWARN Observer # HIL-249
SWFWMD Rainfall Network Observer #574 Thackery
CWOP Weather Station #CW2111

PODXS 070 PSK31 Club Member #349

KN4LF Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive:
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Daily HF/MF Radio Propagation Outlook: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm
KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com


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