[UK-CONTEST] The Perfect Storm

Cooper, Stewart coopers at odl.co.uk
Wed Nov 7 05:51:20 EST 2007


The problem with predicting big bad weather that far ahead is that the
really nasty storms occur when lows are building. This is in the initial
12 - 36 hours. Regretably, lows that don't yet exist are impossible to
forecast accurately.
I will, however, be lowering mine down tonight!
73
Stewart

-----Original Message-----
From: uk-contest-bounces at contesting.com
[mailto:uk-contest-bounces at contesting.com] On Behalf Of Andy Swiffin
Sent: 07 November 2007 10:10
To: uk-contest at contesting.com; Ray James
Subject: Re: [UK-CONTEST] The Perfect Storm

>>> On 05/11/2007 at 20:34, in message
<875524.40504.qm at web25221.mail.ukl.yahoo.com>, Ray James
<gm4cxm at yahoo.co.uk>
wrote:
> Don't blame me if this comes to nothing!
>   Netherland info warns of a superstorm after this weekend.
>   UK Met Office website only provides info up until the 8th but the 
> pressure map certainly shows a nasty number of lows across the EU map 
> but no storm warning?

As you say, the met office site only goes up to 84 hrs (saturday)
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/surface_pressure.html, 

The ECMWF site (
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/)
offers predictions for a further week and shows a low with pressure
985hPa over TF on Tuesday ending up in the north sea between GM/OZ/LA on
Thursday 15th.  Is 985 particularly bad?  Wednesday looks a bit grim
(Northern GM and Shetland excepted :-) 

Do you have a link to your "netherlands info"?

Andy
gm8oeg


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