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Re: [CQ-Contest] TO7A case and K1DG case

To: José Nunes CT1BOH <ct1boh@gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [CQ-Contest] TO7A case and K1DG case
From: Stan Stockton <wa5rtg@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 11 May 2015 04:36:40 -0500
List-post: <cq-contest@contesting.com">mailto:cq-contest@contesting.com>
Very impressive and excellent analysis, José!

Stan

Sent from my iPad

> On May 10, 2015, at 7:08 PM, José Nunes CT1BOH <ct1boh@gmail.com> wrote:
> 
> Dmitry
> 
> As I have said I don't want to go on "live" log-checking. My posts had one
> intention, to explain to all, that looking at log lines alone will tells us
> nothing. Log checking is complex, and the complex of the situation is what
> sometimes makes a log fall into the suspicious category.
> 
> But, even tough I say I don't want to go on "live log checking", the case
> you present of K1DG against TO7A, falls in the category of  - looking at
> log lines alone - will tell us nothing. So I will go deep, just for
> education.
> 
> 
> You say about K1DG log:
> 
>>> QSO: 3532 CW 2014-11-29 1000 K1DG 599 5 NP4Z 599 08 0
>>> QSO: 3540 CW 2014-11-29 1001 K1DG 599 5 VE7FO 599 03 0
>>> QSO: 3545 CW 2014-11-29 1001 K1DG 599 5 8P5A 599 08 0
>>> QSO: 3554 CW 2014-11-29 1001 K1DG 599 5 VP2MDX 599 08 0
>>> QSO: 3555 CW 2014-11-29 1002 K1DG 599 5 KH7XX 599 31 0
>>> 
>>> 23 khz scan in 2 min!!! with 5 juicy mults including double mults!!!
> 
> Buy the way, it is not "2 minutes" but three (1000;1001;1002) and not "5
> juicy mults including double mults" but just 3 mults and no double mult.
> 
> But it is as you say, 23 Khz scan.
> 
> It this possible under a log checking perspective?
> 
> Let's look at the recreated band-map of the stations running on 80 meters,
> using the public data from RBN.
> 
> The band map looks like this:
> 
> 3530.1 NP4Z
> 3531.0 PJ2T
> 3533.1 VE2IM
> 3534.0 WP3C
> 3534.0 SM3DTQ
> 3536.0 N1KWF
> 3537.0 LA6MNA
> 3537.3 PJ4Q
> 3538.0 HI3A
> 3540.9 VE7FO
> 3542.2 HK1NA
> 3543.3 KH6CJJ
> 3546.0 8P5A
> 3548.1 TF3SG
> 3550.0 9Y4/VE3EY
> 3553.0 VO2CQ
> 3554.3 VP2MDX
> 3555.7 KH7XX
> 3557.0 DO6IH
> 3557.3 NS3T
> 3570.1 V47T
> 
> Doesn't seem to be a very crowded band.
> 
> But if we look into RBN data and public logs we will see that:
> 
> PJ2T was already worked before
> VE2IM ended his last QSO at 09:58, so the frequency was clear
> WP3C ended his last QSO at 09:51 do the frequency was clear
> SM3DTQ did not submit a log, but skimmers show nothing after 09:56
> N1KWF ended his last QSO at 10:01, so he was not there
> LA6MNA did not submit a log, but skimmer shoe nothing after 09:46
> KH6CJJ ended his last QSO at 09:46, so the frequency was clear
> VO2CQ ended his last QSO at 09:40, so the frequency was clear
> 
> With this in mind. the band K1DG was facing was:
> 
> 3530.1 NP4Z NEW MULT Worked 10:00
> 3531.0 PJ2T DUPE
> 3537.3 PJ4Q NEW MULT Missed
> 3538.0 HI3A NEW MULT Missed
> 3540.9 VE7FO Worked 10:01
> 3542.2 HK1NA DUPE
> 3546.0 8P5A NEW MULT Worked 10:01
> 3548.1 TF3SG DUPE
> 3550.0 9Y4/VE3EY NEW MULT Missed
> 3554.3 VP2MDX NEW MULT Worked 10:01
> 3555.7 KH7XX Worked 10:02
> 
> Removing the stations that K1DG had already worked we have:
> 
> 3530.1 NP4Z NEW MULT Worked 10:00
> 3537.3 PJ4Q NEW MULT Missed
> 3538.0 HI3A NEW MULT Missed
> 3540.9 VE7FO Worked 10:01
> 3546.0 8P5A NEW MULT Worked 10:01
> 3550.0 9Y4/VE3EY NEW MULT Missed
> 3554.3 VP2MDX NEW MULT Worked 10:01
> 3555.7 KH7XX Worked 10:02
> 
> What does this tell me?
> A very empty band, like one would expect from USA/Caribbean at this time of
> day.
> At 10:00 the sun is up over Europe and over South America.
> USA cannot work each other, so all they have is an empty band of Caribbeans
> (only some) the loud JA's and the few VKs/ZLs.
> 
> K1DG makes a QSO with NP4Z  on 3530.1 for a new mult at 10:00
> K1DG makes a QSO with VE7FO on 3540.0 for just a new QSO
> K1DG makes a QSO with 8P5A on 3546 for a new MULT
> K1DG makes QSOs with VP2MDX for a new mult and then next one is KH7XX
> 
> Also worth noting is K1DG missed PJ4Q, HI3A, 9Y4/VE3EY, in between the scan.
> Also worth noting is that , active on the band and missed by K1DG were new
> multipliers like:
> JA, VK, P4, VE2 (zone2), HI, 9Y
> 
> Bottom line:
> 
> K1DG worked only 3 mults out of 9 available
> He made 5 QSO, in a 23 Khz span in 3 minutes, but then span is not
> important, because the band was empty with just 11 stations CQing.
> And also K1DG was just SO1R S&P. He was not SO2R with a run on a band and
> S&P on 80.
> 
> 
> Now going back to TO7A situation, things were very different:
> 
> First TO7A was SO2R, i.e. Running on 40 meters and S&P on 80
> TO7A span was 34Khz, but unlike K1DG situation with a empty band, TO7A
> "re-created" band map has 165 station in between the scan to find.
> 
> And in 8 minutes, in a very crowded and alive band, TO7A find 8 out of 15
> multipliers, a 53% hit rate.
> 
> 
> So, as you can see, looking at a few log lines, and comparing one log to
> another is useless, unless one has:
> the band context;
> all logs involved context;
> the time of day context;
> etc.
> 
> This is why the job of a log checker is so complex, but at the same time
> interesting for the ones who like to do it....
> 
> 73 José Nunes
> CT1BOH
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
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> 
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> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> -- 
> José Nunes
> CONTEST CT1BOH - http://www.qsl.net/ct1boh
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