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Re: [CQ-Contest] ARRL November SS is OK for the small station

To: "'George Fremin III'" <geoiii@kkn.net>
Subject: Re: [CQ-Contest] ARRL November SS is OK for the small station
From: "Ed Sawyer" <sawyered@earthlink.net>
Reply-to: sawyered@earthlink.net
Date: Mon, 19 Mar 2018 13:19:25 -0400
List-post: <mailto:cq-contest@contesting.com>
Nice data George.  Thank you.

I guess I have always been the opinion that if you have to put a big push on
to get people to do something then the event itself needs some work.

But it could clearly be the issue on SS.

73

Ed  N1UR

-----Original Message-----
From: George Fremin III [mailto:geoiii@kkn.net] 
Sent: Monday, March 19, 2018 12:01 PM
To: Ed Sawyer
Cc: cq-contest@contesting.com
Subject: Re: [CQ-Contest] ARRL November SS is OK for the small station

On Mon, Mar 19, 2018 at 11:10:44AM -0400, Ed Sawyer wrote:

> CW logs received - 2008 (bottom of cycle) - 1417
> 
> CW logs received - 2017 (just released)  - 1275
> 
> SSB logs received - 2008  - 1870
> 
> SSB logs received - 2016 (latest available) - 1626
> 

There are many factors - and it is more complex than just one rule change.

Some factors (but not all):

- DX contest band conditions. CQ WW is around these contests.
- Was there a non contest weekend between CQ WW SSB and SS CW?
- Promotion by the ARRL and ohter parties?
- Conditions during the contest - solar and weather - this can impact folks
submitting

But for these years I bet the biggest one will be the push from the NCCC and
other clubs.  Lately the NCCC has backed off of their big SS push from years
past. 

2008 phone
Potomac Valley Radio Club 22,689,100 325 Northern California Contest Club
20,369,120 278 Society of Midwest Contesters 13,037,472 236 Yankee Clipper
Contest Club 8,526,302 117 Minnesota Wireless Assn 6,087,726 95 Mad River
Radio Club 4,457,660 55 Florida Contest Group 4,184,318 53 Tennessee Contest
Group 3,280,172 51

2016 phone
Potomac Valley Radio Club 14,628,396 247 Society of Midwest Contesters
8,390,900 166 Yankee Clipper Contest Club 4,660,342 90 Minnesota Wireless
Assn 4,361,126 106 Frankford Radio Club 3,594,456 52

The last number is the number of entries from the club.

Now I am sure some of those NCCC folks got on the air but not all of them or
maybe most.
you would need to look at the numbers per section to really tell what is
going on.


> Likely, there are an increasing number of SSB casuals just working 
> some activity that don't submit a log and very few on the CW side (my
opinion).

Again you would need to look at the logs - but I am sure there are plenty of
folks on both modes that make 50 contacts and do not send in a log.

Log submission data:

      SS LOGS SUBMITTED BY YEAR
 YR    CW PHONE TOTAL
1995 1,368 1,661 3,029
1996 1,266 1,466 2,732
1997 1,340 1,565 2,905
1998 1,296 1,537 2,833
1999 1,172 1,447 2,619
2000 1,238 1,610 2,848
2001 1,268 1,604 2,872
2002 1,319 1,692 3,011
2003 1,240 1,582 2,822
2004 1,230 1,557 2,787
2005 1,204 1,441 2,645
2006 1,326 1,541 2,867
2007 1,261 1,571 2,832
2008 1,418 1,871 3,289
2009 1,553 2,047 3,600
2010 1,464 1,783 3,247
2011 1,404 1,826 3,230
2012 1,291 1,673 2,964
2013 1,402 1,793 3,195
2014 1,301 1,910 3,211
2015 1,350 1,826 3,176
2016 1,302 1,626 2,928
2017 1,275 1,688 2,963


If you look over the long term - you will see that the past few years are
not much different than it has been all along.  2008/2009/2010/2011 were
good years.

Maybe the NCCC guys can tell us when they were doing their big club pushes
Or other clubs too.


--
George Fremin III - K5TR
geoiii@kkn.net
http://www.kkn.net/~k5tr


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