Sorry folks I posted yesterday's SIDC Belgium outlook by accident.
:Issued: 2004 Aug 08 1217 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 40808
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 08 Aug 2004, 1140UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 08 Aug 2004 until 10 Aug 2004)
SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Aug 2004 10CM FLUX: 101 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Aug 2004 10CM FLUX: 106 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Aug 2004 10CM FLUX: 110 / AP: 012
COMMENT: Catania sunspot group 90 (NOAA 0656) has now become the biggest group
on the visible solar disk. It has a beta magnetic configuration and seems to be
growing. So far, it produced only small B-class flares, but there is a small
chance for a C-flare from this goup. The solar X-ray background is slowly
increasing.
The solar wind speed is currently mildly elevated at 450km/s, but the
north-south component of the IMF is very close to zero, so we expect quiet
conditions. Yesterday, some geomagnetic observatories reported K-indices up to 4
or even 5, and also NOAA's estimated Kp index reached 5, but in Niemegk and
Izmiran K-indices stayed at quiet values.
SOLAR INDICES FOR 7 Aug 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX : 086
10CM SOLAR FLUX : 095
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 021
AK WINGST : ///
ESTIMATED AP : 019
73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 31 44N 82 09 51 98W
NWS Tampa Bay, FL SKYWARN Observer # HIL-249
SWFWMD Rainfall Network Observer #574 Thackery
CWOP Weather Station #CW2111
PODXS 070 PSK31 Club Member #349
KN4LF Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive:
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Daily HF/MF Radio Propagation Outlook: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm
KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com
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