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[Propagation] SIDC Weekly Solar & Geo Report

To: "a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>,"a HCDX Prop Channel" <propagation@hard-core-dx.com>
Subject: [Propagation] SIDC Weekly Solar & Geo Report
From: "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>
Date: Mon, 16 Aug 2004 12:38:28 -0400
List-post: <mailto:propagation@contesting.com>
Issued: 2004 Aug 16 1308 UTC
SIDC Weekly bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic activity                       
WEEK 189 from 2004 Aug 09  

SOLAR ACTIVITY
--------------
The solar activity was dominated over the whole week by a major 
active region, Catania#90 (NOAA10656), which was the source of 
virtually all observed flares.

This active region experienced a fast growth between Aug.9 and 11, 
acquiring a beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration and reaching 
an area of about 1350 millionth of an hemisphere. In the second 
part of the week, the region grew further but at a slower rate.

In terms of eruptive activity, this region produced only C flares 
until Aug.12, when it spawned a first M1 flare while the X-ray 
background reached C1 level. For the last 3 days of the period, 
the solar activity became high:
 on Aug.13, 4 M flares and an X1 flare at 18:12UT, associated 
      with a 180sfu tenflare and a semi-halo CME
 on Aug.14, 7 M flares, of which an M7 and an M5 (X-ray 
      background at C5)
 on Aug.15, 5 M flares, including an M9.

Although active region #90 now shows some signs of decay, it may 
still contribute a few major flares in the coming 3 days, before 
it disappears at the West limb on Aug. 18. As the other active 
regions on the disc are small and largely quiet, the solar 
activity is expected to become low after Aug. 19.


GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY
--------------------
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled during the 
whole week, except for two active to minor storm events, from 
Aug. 9 18:00 to Aug. 10 02:00UT  and from Aug.10 12:00 to 
24:00UT. These events were associated with sector boundary 
crossings and the entrance of the Earth into a high-speed 
solar wind stream on Aug.10 (southward fluctuations of the 
interplanetary magnetic field). The solar wind speed reached
a peak of 600km/s on Aug.11 at OO:OOUT and then steadily decayed 
for the rest of the week, down to 350km/s. As the Bz component 
of the IMF was predominently Northward, especially on the 
last two days of the week, the geomagnetic field remained quiet. 
 
However, several CMEs emerged from region Catania#90 or the 
large filament channel located just to its South-West, in 
particular over the last 3 days of the week. Still, given 
their moderate speed and the source location far from central 
meridian, they were either not Earth-directed or may only 
induce small geomagnetic disturbances between Aug.16 and 18.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
DAILY INDICES
DATE           RC   10CM   Ak   BKG    M   X
2004 Aug 09   085   114   ///   B3.8   0   0
2004 Aug 10   091   121   ///   B3.3   0   0
2004 Aug 11   083   131   ///   B4.9   0   0
2004 Aug 12   093   147   ///   B6.9   1   0
2004 Aug 13   110   149   ///   B6.8   4   1
2004 Aug 14   101   149   ///   C2.0   7   0
2004 Aug 15   082   139   ///   B7.0   5   0
# RC  : Sunspot index from Catania Observatory (Italy)
# 10cm: 10.7 cm  radioflux (DRAO, Canada)
# Ak  : Ak Index Wingst (Germany)
# BKG : Background GOES X-ray level (NOAA, USA)
# M,X : Number of X-ray flares in M and X class, see below (NOAA, USA)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOTICEABLE EVENTS
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP TENCM TYPE      Cat NOAA NOTE 
12  0438  0505 0520 S14E02 M1.2 1F                 90  0656 

13  0636  0729 0738 S15W12 M1.2 1F                 90  0656 

14  1202  1209 1212 S13W19 M1.1 1F                 90  0656 

13  1807  1812 1815 S13W24 X1.0 1N 180             90  0656 Semi-halo CME

13  2314  2343 2346 S13W26 M3.0                    90  0656 

14  0410  0414 0417 S13W30 M2.4 SF 98              90  0656 

14  0536  0544 0552 S11W28 M7.4 2N 96              90  0656 

14  0751  0756 0759 S13W32 M2.3 1F                 90  0656 

14  0952  1007 1017 S14W30 M3.2 1F 25              90  0656 

14  1331  1343 1350 S14W34 M5.6 2N 77              90  0656 

14  1809  1818 1832 S13W36 M1.3                    90  0656 GOES-12/SXI derived 
location

14  2009  2016 2059 S13W39 M1.3                    90  0656 GOES-12/SXI derived 
location

15  0445  0506 0522 S12W44 M1.2 SF       III/3     90  0656 

15  0554  0600 0604 S12W42 M1.2 SF                 90  0656 

15  1123  1132 1148 S15W47 M2.6 2F 52              90  0656 

15  1234  1241 1243 S15W45 M9.4 1N                 90  0656 

15  1837  1845 1850 S13W50 M1.2          III/2     90  0656 GOES-12/SXI derived 
location



73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 31 44N 82 09 51 98W

NWS Tampa Bay, FL SKYWARN Observer # HIL-249
SWFWMD Rainfall Network Observer #574 Thackery
CWOP Weather Station #CW2111

PODXS 070 PSK31 Club Member #349

KN4LF Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Daily HF/MF Radio Propagation Outlook: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm
KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com


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