Issued: 2004 Aug 17 1238 UTC
Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)
SIDC URSIGRAM 40817
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 17 Aug 2004, 1228UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 17 Aug 2004 until 19 Aug 2004)
SOLAR FLARES : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Warning condition
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Aug 2004 10CM FLUX: 128 / AP: 009
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Aug 2004 10CM FLUX: 124 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Aug 2004 10CM FLUX: 120 / AP: 014
COMMENT: The fast flow from a low-latitude coronal hole may arrive to the Earth
on August 19. It will probably produce only a weak geomagnetic disturbance.
SOLAR INDICES FOR 16 Aug 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX : 073
10CM SOLAR FLUX : 134
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 010
AK WINGST : ///
ESTIMATED AP : 007
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE
16 2229 2244 2252 S12W62 M1.1 1F 90 0656
17 0459 0506 0514 S12W66 M1.1 SF 90 0656
73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 31 44N 82 09 51 98W
kn4lf@arrl.net
KN4LF Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive:
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com
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