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Hi Tomas,
In my opinion you made no error in your excellent write up. If the three new
sunspot groups had of been from solar cycle #24 you certainly would have
said so.
73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Lakeland, FL, USA
kn4lf@arrl.net
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http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
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----- Original Message -----
From: "Tomas Hood" <nw7us.heliophile@gmail.com>
Cc: <propagation@contesting.com>
Sent: Wednesday, March 26, 2008 10:12 AM
Subject: Re: [Propagation] New Sunspot Cycle 24: The Sun Awakens
> This e-mail posting is from the Radio Propagation Reflector that you're
> currently subscribed to. Refer to the end of this e-mail for directions
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>
> On Wed, Mar 26, 2008 at 7:57 AM, Thomas Giella KN4LF
> <kn4lf@earthlink.net> wrote:
>
>> KN4LF Says:
>>
>> Unfortunately the three new sunspot groups are from solar cycle 23. Since
>> January 1, 2008 we have seen eleven sunspot groups. Of those eleven ten
>> are
>> solar cycle 23 sunspot groups, not a good statistic for those that are
>> hoping for a rapid rise in solar cycle 24 activity.
>>
>> It's good to see some activity occur though. The increase in sunspots
>> really
>> improved propagation conditions on 17 and 15 meters yesterday.
>
> Recent flux forecasts put the 10.7-cm level at a possible 95 in the
> next day or so. This is great news.
>
> Regarding my "error of omission" that I'm accused of: I will humbly
> let official purists beat me with a wet noodle. I'm aware that my
> omission will cause great grief for those who take my words and hang
> the success of their hobbies upon my error.
>
> I stand by my bulletin for the intent; activity is picking up and I
> bet that we'll see a gradual and steady increase in activity, now that
> we've passed the minimum (regardless of which cycle these sunspots
> belong to as defined by polarity).
>
> The sun is active, and it is my opinion that this activity is a sign
> of a sun that's "waking up". That's my point.
>
> Maybe the official observers are not correct in speculating that
> February 2008 was the point of minimum. Perhaps sunspot cycle 23 is
> waking back up and we'll see a burst of activity before a real ending
> comes. We'll know, someday.
>
> In any case, I am hearing Europe on 20 meters, PSK31 mode. I'm
> celebrating the new activity.
>
>
> Amateur Radio Operator, NW7US
> Contributing editor:
> CQ Magazine, CQ VHF, Popular Communications
> http://hfradio.org / http://nw7us.spaces.live.com/
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