[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2016 Oct 10 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

This e-mail posting is from the Radio Propagation Reflector that you're 
currently subscribed to.  Refer to the end of this e-mail for directions on how 
to change your subscription options, or to unsubscribe.
_______________________-start-_________________

Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2016 Oct 10 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was at very low levels this period. Regions 2598 (N14W43, Cai/beta) and 2599 (S15W15, Cko/beta) underwent minor decay this period while Region 2600 (N11E26, Hsx/alpha) was stable. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to persist at very low levels with a slight chance for C-class flare activity over the next three days (10-12 Oct).

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels with a peak flux of 3,520 pfu observed at 09/1355 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels throughout the period.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at moderate to high levels over the next three days (10-12 Oct). The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels throughout the forecast period.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters reflected a nominal solar wind regime. Total interplanetary magnetic field strength values were steady near 5-7 nT, Bz briefly reached -5 nT late in the period, and solar wind speeds were steady between 350-390 km/s. Forecast: Solar wind parameters are expected to remain at near-background levels over the next three days (10-12 Oct).

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels this period.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled over the next three days (10-12 Oct).

Don't forget to visit our live space weather and radio propagation web site, at: http://SunSpotWatch.com/

Live Aurora mapping is at http://aurora.sunspotwatch.com/

If you are on Twitter, please follow these two users: + https://Twitter.com/NW7US + https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx

Get the space weather and radio propagation self-study course, today. Visit http://nw7us.us/swc for the latest sale and for more information!

Check out the stunning view of our Sun in action, as seen during the last five years with the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zXN-MdoGM9g

We're on Facebook: http://NW7US.us/swhfr

Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

_______________________________________________
Propagation mailing list
Propagation@contesting.com

To change your subscription settings, or to unsubscribe, visit:
http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation