[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2019 Nov 09 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2019 Nov 09 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low. No sunspots or Earth directed CMEs were observed this period.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels on 09-11 Nov.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels this period with a peak flux of 1,120 pfu observed at 08/2020 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach high levels on 09 Nov and normal to moderate levels are likely on 10-11 Nov in response to a minor geomagnetic disturbance. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels throughout the forecast period.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters were at background levels this period under a nominal solar wind regime.

Forecast: Background levels are expected through midday on 10 Nov. An enhancement in the near-Earth solar wind environment is expected after midday on 10 Nov through 11 Nov due to the influence of a negative polarity CH HSS.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet throughout the period.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the remainder of 09 Nov under a nominal solar wind regime. Periods of active conditions are likely on 10-11 Nov in response to the influence of a negative polarity CH HSS.

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Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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