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Subject: [Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2019 Nov 11 1230 UTC
From: nw7us@sunspotwatch.com
Reply-to: Practical radio-wave propagation and space weather <propagation@contesting.com>
Date: Mon, 11 Nov 2019 20:07:05 +0000
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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2019 Nov 11 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low. No active regions with sunspots or Earth directed CMEs were observed.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels on 11-13 Nov.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels while the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be normal to moderate on 11-13 Nov and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels throughout the forecast period.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters were at background levels through about 11/0300 UTC when a gradual enhancement in parameters was observed. Increases in density, wind speed and total field indicated an anticipated CIR in advance of a negative polarity CH HSS became geoeffective. Shortly after 11/0900 UTC, wind speed peaked near 370 km/s, total field peaked at 11 nT while the Bz component reached a maximum southward extent of -11 nT.

Forecast: An enhancement in the near-Earth solar wind environment is expected to persist on 11-12 Nov due to CH HSS influence. A return to nominal conditions is anticipated by 13 Nov.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels under and enhanced solar wind environment.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is likely to reach active periods intermittently on 11 Nov due to CH HSS influence. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 12 Nov, and generally quiet conditions are expected on 13 Nov, as CH HSS influence wanes and subsides.

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Live Aurora mapping is at http://aurora.sunspotwatch.com/

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Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion - 2019 Nov 11 20:07 UTC

Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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