[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2020 Jul 09 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2020 Jul 09 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low under a spotless solar disk.

A filament eruption occurred near N40W72 at approximately 08/2330 UTC. A model run to determine a possible Earth-directed component is currently underway.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels 09-11 Jul.

Energetic Particles

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was normal to moderate and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels.

Forecast: Both the greater than 2 MeV electron and 10 MeV proton fluxes are expected to remain below event thresholds over 09-11 Jul.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: The solar wind environment was at background levels. Wind speeds continued to steadily decline from ~370 km/s to ~325 km/s by periods end. Total field values ranged between 2-5 nT, and the Bz component was +/- 3 nT. Phi was in a positive (away) solar sector.

Forecast: Minor enhancements are possible 09 Jul with flanking influences from the 05 Jul CME. Otherwise, background conditions are anticipated for the forecast period (09-11 Jul).

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

Forecast: Isolated unsettled periods are possible on 09 Jul due to glancing influence from the 05 Jul CME. Quiet conditions are expected 10-11 Jul.

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Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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