[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2020 Aug 03 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2020 Aug 03 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was at very low levels. Low level B-class flaring was observed from newly numbered Region 2770 (N22E81, Axx/alpha). Region 2769 (N27E48, Axx/alpha) was stable and quiet. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels for 03-05 Aug.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.

Forecast: There is a chance for the greater than 2 MeV electron flux to reach high levels on 03-05 Aug due to CH HSS influences. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels for the forecast period.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters continued under the influence of a positive polarity CH HSS. Solar wind speed increased from approximately 370 km/s to near 650 km/s. Total field ranged from 3-12 nT while the Bz component was between +8/-10 nT. Phi angle was oriented in a positive (away) solar sector.

Forecast: Solar wind parameters are expected to continue to be enhanced on 03-05 Aug as positive polarity CH HSS effects persist.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels due to CH HSS effects.

Forecast: Unsettled to active with a chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels is forecast for the rest of the UTC day on 03 Aug. Quiet to unsettled levels are expected on 04-05 Aug as HSS effects persist.

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Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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