[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2020 Aug 13 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2020 Aug 13 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low. Region 2770 (N22W50, Axx/alpha) remained stable with a single spot observed. Region 2771 (S18E37, Bxo/beta) exhibited weak reorganization of spots, but was mostly unremarkable through the period. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain very low on 13-15 Aug.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at moderate levels, and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux maintained background values.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at moderate levels, with a slight chance for high flux 13-15 Aug. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters reflected background conditions. Total field strength averaged near 3 nT, the Bz component saw weak deviations, and solar wind speeds were near 300 km/s. The phi angle was predominantly positive.

Forecast: A slow solar wind regime is anticipated to continue on 13-15 Aug.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

Forecast: Quiet conditions are expected 13-15 Aug in response to the continuing ambient, slow solar wind regime.

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Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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