[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2020 Nov 02 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

This e-mail posting is from the Radio Propagation Reflector that you're 
currently subscribed to.  Refer to the end of this e-mail for directions on how 
to change your subscription options, or to unsubscribe.
_______________________-start-_________________

Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2020 Nov 02 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was low due to C-class activity at or behind the WSW limb. Old Region 2778 (S22, L=085) produced a C3 x-ray event at 01/1730 UTC while old Region 2779 (S17, L=076) produced a C1 x-ray event at 01/1916 UTC. New Region 2780 (N20E63, Bxo/beta) developed near the NE limb this period.

A narrow, slow-moving CME was observed off the WSW limb, first visible in LASCO C2 imagery at 01/1948 UTC. Analysis, and subsequent model output, indicated no Earth-directed component was present. No additional CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low over 02-04 Nov.

Energetic Particles

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels with a peak flux of 1,630 observed at 01/1625 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels throughout the period.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach moderate levels on 02-04 Nov. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters, as measured by the DSCOVR spacecraft, reflected possible influence from slow-moving transient. Total magnetic field strength reached a peak flux of 9 nT at 01/1722 UTC. The Bz component was primarily oriented southward after 01/1143 UTC and reached a maximum southward extent of -6 nT. After 01/1800 UTC, Bz became oriented more northward. Solar wind speeds reached a peak of about 405 km/s early in the period, and steadily declined to near 325 km/s by periods end. Phi angle was oriented in a predominately positive solar sector.

Forecast: Solar wind parameters are expected to be at mostly nominal levels over 02-04 Nov.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet conditions over 02-04 Nov.

Don't forget to visit our live space weather and radio propagation web site, at: http://SunSpotWatch.com/

Live Aurora mapping is at http://aurora.sunspotwatch.com/

If you are on Twitter, please follow these two users: + https://Twitter.com/NW7US + https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx

- - - - - - - - - - - - - Be sure to subscribe to our space weather and propagation email group, on Groups.io https://groups.io/g/propagation-and-space-weather Spread the word! - - - - - - - - - - - - - Links of interest: + Amazon space weather books: http://g.nw7us.us/fbssw-aSWSC + https://Twitter.com/NW7US + https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx Space Weather and Ham Radio YouTube Channel News: I am working on launching a YouTube channel overhaul, that includes series of videos about space weather, radio signal propagation, and more. Additionally, I am working on improving the educational efforts via the email, Facebook, YouTube, Tumblr, and other activities. You can help! Please consider becoming a Patron of these space weather and radio communications services, beginning with the YouTube channel: https://www.patreon.com/NW7US The YouTube channel: https://YouTube.com/NW7US ..

We're on Facebook: http://NW7US.us/swhfr

Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

_______________________________________________
Propagation mailing list
Propagation@contesting.com

To change your subscription settings, or to unsubscribe, visit:
http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation